IIASA at EGU General Assembly 2025

Monday, 28 April

08:30–12:30 (CEST): Budgets, trends, and drivers of major Greenhouse Gases in the atmosphere, on land, and in the ocean from regional to global scales

Quantifying greenhouse gas emissions from landscape fires due to the Russo–Ukrainian War and the impact on the carbon sequestration capacity of forests

Linda See

08:30–12:25 (CEST): PICO session - Modeling agricultural systems under global change

Christian Folberth (co-convener)

08:30–12:25 (CEST): Understanding and assessing sea level changes: from global to local, from past to future

Towards overshoot-proof multi-century sea level rise projections  

Tessa Möller

08:51–08:53 (CEST): Modeling agricultural systems under global change

Modeling impacts of food and fertilizer trade disruptions on global food security

Pavel Kiparisov and Christian Folberth

08:55–08:57 (CEST): PICO session - Predicting future food loss and waste patterns under changing socioeconomic conditions

Francesco Semeria, Giacomo Falchetta, Adriano Vinca

16:15–18:00 (CEST): Tropical forests in transition - ecosystems of global significance

Simulating plant functional acclimation and trait evolution using an eco-evolutionary vegetation model (PlantFATE)

Florian Hofhansl

16:15–18:00 (CEST): Earth resilience in the Anthropocene: tipping points, planetary boundaries and human-Earth system interactions

Causal pathway from AMOC to Southern Amazon Rainforest indicates stabilising interaction between two climate tipping elements 

Annika Högner

16:15–18:00 (CEST): Advances in African hydrology and climate: monitoring, modelling, water management, food and water security

Perspectives on African water resources with a focus on ambient river water quality

Albert Nkwasa

Tuesday, 29 April

08:30–10:15 (CEST): Citizen science and co-creating with communities

Citizen science data, marine plastics, and SDG monitoring: How to build trust in citizen science data and methodologies among diverse actors with varying needs and motivations?

Dilek Fraisl, Linda See, Steffen Fritz, and Ian McCallum

Engaging and Conflict-Resolution preference elicitation in Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis for Localized Mitigation Actions in Disaster Risk Management

Mohammad Reza Yeganegi, Nadejda Komendantova, and Mats Danielson

09:45–09:55 (CEST): Towards improved global heat stress projections by accounting for spatio-temporally compounding risks

Raffaela Langer and Kai Kornhuber

10:45–11:15 (CEST): CL Division outstanding ECS Award lecture by Kai Kornhuber

Physical drivers and statistical properties of high impact climate extremes

Kai Kornhuber

10:45–12:30 (CEST): Advances in African hydrology and climate: monitoring, modeling, water management, food and water security

An application of complementary strategic level and high-resolution modeling of the Water-Energy-Food-Environment nexus in the transboundary Zambezi watercourse

Mikhail Smilovic

10:45–12:30 (CEST): Dynamics of expectations, (dis)satisfaction, and participation in changing states of water governance systems

Peyman Arjomandi and Nadejda Komendantova

14:00–18:00 (CEST): Water quality and clean water availability modeling under current conditions and future global change scenarios

Albert Nkwasa (convener)

Climate change amplifies the impacts of anthropogenic inputs on nitrogen loading in global rivers 

Jincheng Li and Taher Kahil

Multimodel Assessment of Nitrogen Pollution in European River Systems under Changing Climate and Shared Socioeconomic Pathways

Albert Nkwasa

Evaluating the Impacts of Climate Change on Catchment Water Quality in Yala River Catchment, Western Kenya.

Albert Nkwasa

14:00–18:00 (CEST): Tipping points in the Earth system

Increased climate tipping risks from climate overshoot 

Annika Högner and Tessa Möller (co-authors, main presenter: Nico Wunderling)

16:15–18:00 (CEST): Statistical and physical emulators for climate impacts

Quantifying the Disproportionate Contributions of High-Income Groups to the Emergence of Climate Extremes

Zebedee Nicholls, Roman Hoffmann, Setu Pelz, and Carl-Friedrich Schleussner

16:15–18:00 (CEST): Bridging the gap between geosciences and legal practice: informing laws and litigation

Presentation title: Establishing climate accountability through attribution of climate impacts to GHG emissions within territorial jurisdictions 

Annika Högner

Lessons learned from the science-litigation interface 

Zeb Nicholls and Carl Schleussner

16:15–18:00 (CEST): Statistical and physical emulators for climate impacts

RIME-X: Emulating regional climate impact distributions using simple climate models and impact models 

Niklas Schwind, Annika Högner, Edward Byers, Zebedee Nicholls, and Carl-Friedrich Schleussner

17:10–17:20 (CEST): Unlocking Global Insights: Opportunities for Multi-Hazard Risk Management from a Unique Empirical Database

Robert Sakic Trogrlic

17:15–17:25 (CEST): Tipping points in the Earth system

Optimal climate policies under the shadow of social tipping

Michael Kuhn and Stefan Wrzaczek

17:35–17:45 (CEST): Challenges and enablers of co-achieving ambitious global climate and biodiversity targets

Yazhen Wu, Stefan Frank, David Leclère, Oliver Fricko, Shinichiro Fujimori, Mykola Gusti, Andrey Lessa Derci Augustynczik, Tamás Krisztin, Michael Wögerer, Volker Krey, Keywan Riahi, and Petr Havlík

Wednesday, 30 April

08:30–10:15 (CEST): Recent advancements in estimating global, continental, and regional scale water balance components

Peter Burek (co-convener)

08:30–12:25 (CEST): Science-based, measurement-based greenhouse gas monitoring and emission estimates in support of national, sub-national, city and industrial climate change mitigation

EYE-CLIMA: A Horizon Europe project using atmospheric inversions to improve national estimates of greenhouse gas emissions

Wilfried Winiwarter, Dmitry Shchepashchenko

Inverse modelling of N2O fluxes over Europe: An EYE-CLIMA initiative

Wilfried Winiwarter

08:30–12:30 (CEST): Snow and glacier hydrology

Spatial downscaling of snow water equivalent estimates for hydrological applications in Alpine Europe using machine learning

Carla Catania, Peter Burek

08:30–10:15 (CEST): EDI - Resilience building, risk reduction to recovery: systems-based assessments, frameworks, tools and experiences

Jung Hee Hyun (convener) and Reinhardt Mechler (co-convener)

08:30–10:15 (CEST): Resilience building, risk reduction to recovery: systems-based assessments, frameworks, tools and experiences

Managing sovereign climate risk in vulnerable developing countries: smart support guidance for donors and policymakers

Qinhan Zhu, Muneta Yokomatsu, and Stefan Hochrainer-Stigler

The effect of community resilience measures on morbi-mortality indicators following floods: an empirical assessment.

Raquel Guimaraes, Stefan Velev, and Dipesh Chapagain

10:05–10:15 (CEST): Rethinking wildfire risk: global and European innovations across the fire risk management continuum

Community Programs Support Wildfire Risk Reduction

Timothy Foreman

10:45–12:30 (CEST): Interdisciplinary methods and tools for climate resilient development at regional and local level

Synergistic nature of sustainable development solutions centered on heat stress in the urban system 

Heidelinde Trimmel, Sibel Eker, Deepthi Swamy, Ryan Tan, and Leila Niamir

10:45–10:50 (CEST): Bridging natural and social sciences to study societal responses to extreme weather events

Roman Hoffmann (co-convener)

10:45–12:30 (CEST): Urban climate: observations, modeling, science tools and climate action for cities

The potential for evaporative cooling from Vienna's green roofs

Impact of longer drought periods on climate in Greater Vienna

Heidelinde Trimmel (coauthor)

10:45–12:30 (CEST): PICO session - Advancing the integration of citizen and stakeholders’ knowledge in disaster risk assessment, reduction and governance

Nadejda Komendantova (co-convener)

10:45–12:30 (CEST): Advancing the integration of citizen and stakeholders’ knowledge in disaster risk assessment, reduction and governance

Nadejda Komendantova (co-convener)

Implications of Scientists’ Perceptions of Climate Change Narratives for Public Engagement

Avi Yosipof, Nadejda Komendantova

10:45–12:30 (CEST): Drivers affecting global carbon sink of terrestrial ecosystems

Drivers affecting the carbon budget of Russian terrestrial ecosystems (1960–2020): climate change, management, and disturbances

Anatoly Shvidenko, Dmitry Shchepashchenko, and Florian Kraxner

10:50–11:00 (CEST): Advancing climate resilience: Insights from a European survey on regional climate risk assessment

Michaela Bachmann

11:16–11:18 (CEST): Advancing the integration of citizen and stakeholders’ knowledge in disaster risk assessment, reduction and governance

Classifying and assessing good practices for urban and metropolitan risk management: a methodological and evaluation framework

Antonino Rapicano

14:00–15:40 (CEST): Water resources policy and management - balancing the water, food, energy and environment nexus for resilient water systems under global change 

Taher Kahil (convener)

14:00–18:00 (CEST): Mountain hydrology under global change: monitoring, modeling and adaptation

Projected changes in the seasonality and interannual variability of lowland and mountain runoff and potential consequences for global water use

Peter Burek, Mikhail Smilovic, Yoshihide Wada

16:15–18:00 (CEST): Advances in forest system modeling: enhancing insights into structural dynamics, soil carbon cycling, and natural disturbances for informing future management strategies

Andre Nakhavali (convener), Fulvio di Fulvio (co-convener)

Modeling Wildfire Risks and Forest Dynamics in Europe: Strategies for Climate-Resilient Management

Colin Johnstone, Andrey Krasovskiy, Jo Hyun-Woo, Park Eunbeen, Dmitry Shchepashchenko, and Florian Kraxner

16:15–18:00 (CEST): Rethinking wildfire risk: global and European innovations across the fire risk management continuum

Understanding Stakeholder Discourses for improved Wildfire Risk Management 

Xiran Dong, Anna Scolobig, JoAnne Linnerooth-Bayer, Jan Sendzimir, Alberto Fresolone, and Thomas Schinko

17:15–17:25 (CEST): Scenarios of street green space to inform future heat adaptation in cities

Steffen Lohrey and Giacomo Falchetta

Thursday, 1 May

08:30–10:08 (CEST): The convergence of disasters, diseases, and health impacts

Breathing clean air, remembering better: a cross-regional study of air quality and episodic memory in European older adults

Daniela Weber

08:30–10:15 (CEST): Co-creation in hydrology and water resources management

Co-creating a safe operating space framework for water resources: insights from the Danube Basin case study

Silvia Artuso, Emilio Politti, Peter Burek, Sylvia Tramberend, Mikhail Smilovic, and Taher Kahil

08:30–12:30 (CEST): Fate of water reservoirs: global change implications on sustainable water management

Integrating remote sensing observations and hydrological modeling to assess reservoir sustainability in the Morava sub-basin.

Carla Catania and Emilio Politti

08:30–12:30 (CEST): Assessing the financial impacts from drought and heat induced crop yield losses

Kai Kornhuber

08:30–10:15 (CEST): Advances in physical climate risk assessment for the financial and insurance sectors.

Kai Kornhuber (convener)

 

09:45–09:55 (CEST): Increasing fiscal stress from compound hazard risk across the globe: how can innovative finance options build resilience?

Reinhard Mechler, Stefan Hochrainer-Stigler, Muneta Yokomatsu, and Qinhan Zhu

08:30–10:08 (CEST): The convergence of disasters, diseases, and health impacts

Josephine Borghi (session co-convener)

10:05–10:08 (CEST): Climate finance needs under macroeconomic and climate uncertainty: damage functions integration in IAM

Adriano Vinca, Jarmo Kikstra, Marina Andrijevic, Edward Byers, Setu Pelz, Matt Gidden, Volker Krey, and Keywan Riahi

10:45–12:30 (CEST): The convergence of Disasters, Diseases, and Health impacts

Reconfiguring financing arrangements to build health system resilience to disasters and multi-hazards: a framework and evidence review of co-financing arrangements.

Josepehine Borghi

10:45–12:30 (CEST): Multi-(hazard) risk assessments: Innovative approaches for disaster risk reduction, management, and climate change adaptation

Robert Sakic Trogrlic (convener)

Implementation of a Decision Support System (DSS) to guide local and regional administrations in the mitigation of impacts due to Multi-(hazards)

Mohammad Reza Yeganegi, Nadejda Komendantova, and Mats Danielson

10:45–12:25 (CEST): Water resources policy and management - balancing the water, food, energy and environment nexus for resilient water systems under global change 

Taher Kahil (convener)

11:45-11:55 (CEST: Scenario-based exploration of the water-food-energy nexus in the Tigris-Euphrates river basin 

Elham Sedighi, Brian Fath, Ali Kharrazi, and Elena Rovenskaya

14:25–14:35 (CEST): Combining quantitative and qualitative risk aspects for adaptive and flexible climate risk assessment

Michaela Bachmann, Reinhard Mechler, Oscar Higuera Roa

14:00–15:45 (CEST): LEAP-RE: an example of coordination, resource mobilisation and capacity building in R&I between Europe and Africa (poster)

Giacomo Falchetta

14:05–14:15 (CEST): Mapping the role of social capital in measured community resilience over time

Jung Hee Hyun, Romain Clercq-Roques, Stefan Velev, and Reinhard Mechler

16:15–18:00 (CEST): Agroecosystem assessment and indicators from farm to continent to improve sustainability

High resolution maps of European agricultural indicators

Linda See

17:40–17:50 (CEST): Implementation of a decision support system (DSS) to guide local and regional administrations in the mitigation of impacts due to multi-hazards

Nadejda Komendantova, Mohammad Reza Yeganegi, Mats Danielson

Friday, 2 May

08:30–09:55 (CEST): EDI - Bridging the gap: climate science models and renewable energy research

Caroline Zimm and Giacomo Falchetta (co-conveners)

08:30–10:15 (CEST): Human-water feedbacks

GEB: A coupled socio-hydrological agent-based adaptation model for drought and flood risk management

Jens de Bruijn, Elisa Stefaniak, Mikhail Smilovic, Xinran Guo

08:30–12:30 (CEST): The climate impacts of a hydrogen economy: exploring the biogeochemical cycle

Evaluating hydrogen emissions from incomplete combustion: historical trends and the role of policy. 

Thiago Brito, Lena Höglund-Isaksson, Peter Rafaj, Robert Sanders, Shaohui Zhang, and Zbigniew Klimont

08:30–10:15 (CEST), 14:00–15:00 (CEST): Water balance and integrated water management in transboundary systems

Developing a safe operating space framework for water resources in the Danube River basin 

Silvia Artuso, Emilio Politti, Sylvia Tramberend, Mikhail Smilovic, and Taher Kahil

Projected hydrological alterations in the Danube River Basin under climate change 

Emilio Politti, Carla Catania, Silvia Artuso, and Taher Kahil

09:25–09:35 (CEST): Integrating industrial ecology tools with integrated assessment models for enhanced sustainability insights

Extraction to end-use: revisiting the representation of a dynamic full supply chain with high-resolution endogenized demand sectors 

Yiyi Ju, Bas Van Ruijven, and Paul Kishimoto

10:45–12:30 (CEST): Perspectives from the Global South of people-centred multi-hazard early warning systems: opportunities and challenges (poster)

Robert Sakic Trogrlic

10:50–11:10 (CEST): Mycorrhizal networks and mother trees – what is theoretically possible?

Oskar Franklin

14:00–15:45 (CEST): Water resources policy and management – System solutions for uncertain futures

Inequities in water access: challenges of an emerging Indian megacity

Mikhail Smilovic, Taher Kahil, Peter Burek and Yoshihide Wada

14:00–15:45 (CEST): Future changes in weather and climate hazards around the world

Kai Kornhuber (convener)

14:00–15:45 (CEST): Multi-parametric short-term seismic hazard monitoring and physical and statistical models for earthquake risk assessment

Measuring the experts’ perception about the suitability of natural disaster risk mitigation solutions using minimal risk assessment information, a Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis approach

Mohammad Reza Yeganegi, Nadejda Komendantova, and Mats Danielson

14:25–14:35 (CEST): Street green space for urban heat reduction: a globally-relevant, local climate zone-specific empirical assessment

Giacomo Falchetta, Steffen Lohrey, Carl-Friedrich Schleussner, and Leila Niamir

16:15–18:00 (CEST): Agroecosystem assessment and indicators from farm to continent to improve sustainability

High resolution maps of European agricultural indicator

Linda See