The research focus of IBF is the integrated modeling of natural resources and ecosystems management using IIASA models such as the Global Biosphere Management Model (GLOBIOM) for the development of transformations in food and bio-based sectors that enable satisfying human needs while ensuring the sustainable use of terrestrial and marine environments.
The IBF Group strives to bring about transformations in the use and management of terrestrial, fresh water, and marine ecosystems for “happy people on a healthy planet” by informing national and international policies, and by engaging with businesses and civil society. For this, the group relies on a suite of well-established models, including the Global Biosphere Management Model (GLOBIOM) and the Global Forest Model (G4M), as well as its reputation as a credible partner in concrete policy/regulatory processes.
The group’s key research areas include:
- Land, water, and oceans management focusing on primary producers in agriculture, forestry, and fisheries and their impact on the environment, including land-based climate change mitigation.
- Bio-based sectors integrating consumers and producers across food, fibre, and fuel supply chains.
- Shocks, adaptation, and resilience within bio-based sectors including weather extremes.
- Food, nutrition, and poverty, as the main social outcomes of land, water, and oceans use.
- Integrated biosphere foresight and solutions developing forward-looking scenarios for the assessment of potential synergies and trade-offs between relevant Sustainable Development Goals at regional and global scales, and exploring national and international options for their achievement to inform policymaking.
Projects
Staff
News
![Route of the waterfalls with 14 waterfalls in corupa one of the last areas of the Atlantic forest in Brazil.](/sites/default/files/styles/thumbnail/public/2024-08/dreamstime_m_126980077.jpg?itok=4FXhLtVH)
22 August 2024
Meeting ambitious restoration targets in Brazil’s Atlantic Forest
![Nitrogen](/sites/default/files/styles/thumbnail/public/2024-08/dreamstime_l_2264624.jpg?itok=bJVQol9h)
16 August 2024
Nitrogen interventions as a key to better health and robust ecosystems
![Zambezi river basin](/sites/default/files/styles/thumbnail/public/2024-07/dreamstime_l_77571346.jpg?itok=q3DXk8vq)
30 July 2024
Innovative solutions for sustainability in the Zambezi River Basin
Events
Focus
![Local people working in their field, near Lamin village, Gambia, West Africa](/sites/default/files/styles/thumbnail/public/2024-07/dreamstime_m_276452896.jpg?itok=g0v0JE50)
08 July 2024
Future food demand in The Gambia: can increased crop productivity and climate adaptation close the supply–demand gap?
The Gambia faces significant food availability issues due to low agricultural productivity. IIASA researchers and colleagues used the FABLE Calculator to explore actions to reduce the food supply-demand gap by 2050. The results, published in Food Security, reveal that current cropland will not meet food demand by 2050.
27 June 2024
Exploring plant-based food alternatives to advance global sustainability
![food](/sites/default/files/styles/thumbnail/public/2024-06/dreamstime_m_258453725.jpg?itok=r-0G6pHs)
Publications
Escobar Lanzuela, N. , Seber, G., Skalský, R. , Wögerer, M., Jung, M., & Malina, R. (2024). Spatially-explicit land use change emissions and carbon payback times of biofuels under the carbon offsetting and reduction scheme for international aviation. Science of the Total Environment 948 e174635. 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.174635. Chaplin-Kramer, R., Polasky, S., Alkemade, R., Burgess, N., Cheung, W., Fetzer, I., Harfoot, M., Hertel, T., Hill, S., Andrew Johnson, J., Janse, J., José v. Jeetze, P., Kim, H., Kuiper, J., Lonsdorf, E., Leclere, D., Mulligan, M., Peterson, G., Popp, A., Roe, S., Schipper, A., Snäll, T., van Soesbergen, A., Soterroni, A., Stehfest, E., van Vuuren, D., Visconti, P., Wang-Erlandsson, L., Wells, G., & Pereira, H. (2024). Integrated modeling of nature’s role in human well-being: A research agenda. Global Environmental Change 88 e102891. 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2024.102891. Fridman, D. , Burek, P. , Wada, Y. , Kahil, T. , & Palazzo, A. (2024). SSP-aligned projected European water withdrawal/consumption at 5 arcminutes. 10.5281/zenodo.13379538. Guo, Y., Zhao, H., Winiwarter, W. , Chang, J. , Wang, X., Zhou, M., Havlik, P. , Leclere, D., Pan, D., Kanter, D., & Zhang, L. (2024). Aspirational nitrogen interventions accelerate air pollution abatement and ecosystem protection. Science Advances 10 (33) eado0112. 10.1126/sciadv.ado0112. Gopalakrishna, T., Visconti, P., Lomax, G., Boere, E., Malhi, Y., Roy, P.S., Joshi, P.K., Fedele, G., & Yowargana, P. (2024). Optimizing restoration: A holistic spatial approach to deliver Nature’s Contributions to People with minimal tradeoffs and maximal equity. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 121 (34) e2402970121. 10.1073/pnas.2402970121. Ermolieva, T., Havlik, P. , Derci Augustynczik, A.L., Frank, S. , Balkovič, J. , Skalský, R. , Deppermann, A., Nakhavali, A., Komendantova, N. , Kahil, T. , Wang, G., Folberth, C. , & Knopov, P.S. (2024). Tracking the Dynamics and Uncertainties of Soil Organic Carbon in Agricultural Soils Based on a Novel Robust Meta-Model Framework Using Multisource Data. Sustainability 16 (16) e6849. 10.3390/su16166849.