
Through its research, the MDM Group aims to advance demographic modeling methods to assess and forecast population dynamics with a focus on demographic and spatial heterogeneity under different socioeconomic scenarios at the global, national, and sub-national level.
The MDM Group’s research focus is at the core of the IIASA strategic plan in rigorously incorporating the human-centered system model into systems analysis by considering the feedback mechanisms between human and other social, economic, and natural systems. The group has a strong focus on population forecasting using a scenario-based approach allowing for aligning future demographic components with socioeconomic scenarios such as the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs) originally developed for the climate change research community. Apart from updating global projections of population, human capital, and other relevant dimensions using scenarios, the group also carries out innovative, policy-relevant research at the local and regional level, for instance, assessing social vulnerability to COVID-19 at a small spatial scale.
Models, tools, datasets
Projects
Staff
News

24 March 2023
Increasing education opportunities for girls could help reduce preventable deaths in children under five

24 January 2023
How has the COVID-19 pandemic affected immigration?

28 September 2022
Demography matters: the human life from birth to death
Events
06 December 2023 Vienna, Austria
Wittgenstein Centre Conference 2023-Exploring Population Heterogeneities
Focus
28 November 2022
Standardizing migration data in Europe

11 July 2022
Fertile feedback

24 June 2020
The gender dimension of sustainable development

Publications
Ueffing, P., Adhikari, S., K.C., Samir, Poznyak, O., Goujon, A. , & Natale, F. (2023). Ukraine's population future after the Russian Invasion. Publications Office of the European Union , Luxembourg. 10.2760/607962.
Moradhvaj, M. & K.C., S. (2023). Differential impact of maternal education on under-five mortality in rural and urban India. Health & Place 80 p. 102987. 10.1016/j.healthplace.2023.102987.
K.C., S. & Gailey, N. (2023). Human capital futures in Eastern Europe and the Caucasus amid aging, depopulation, and high skilled emigration. IIASA Working Paper. Laxenburg, Austria: WP-23-003
Lazzari, E., Potančoková, M. , Sobotka, T., Gray, E., & Chambers, G.M. (2023). Projecting the Contribution of Assisted Reproductive Technology to Completed Cohort Fertility. Population Research and Policy Review 42 (1) 10.1007/s11113-023-09765-3.
Yildiz, D. , Adali, T., & Özdemir, C. (2023). La république turque a 100 ans. Qu’en est-il de sa population ? Population & Sociétés 608 (2) 1-4. 10.3917/popsoc.608.0001.