Population and Just Societies Program scientists will present and discuss latest IIASA research at the hybrid European Population Conference-EPC 2024 organized by European Association for Population Studies (EAPS) in collaboration with the University of St. Andrews in Edinburgh.

The European Population Conference (EPC) is the main event of European Association for Population Studies (EAPS) and is a leading scientific gathering in the field of population studies. Experts from a wide range of disciplines, including researchers, policy makers and stakeholders discuss the latest developments in population research, population trends and dynamics as well as their causes and implications.

For detailed information to the EPC 2024 please visit the event website

This year at EPC, IIASA is co-organizing a special session, that aims to bring together demographers and policymakers to reflect on demography as a foresight tool in policymaking. It follows in the footsteps of the Global Demographic Expert Survey on the Drivers and Consequences of Demographic Change, developed jointly by the European Commission Joint Research Centre, the International Institute for Applied System Analysis, and the United Nations Population Division.

  • Thursday, 13 June 2024

Session 23 Advances in Population Research: Is Demography Losing its Foresight Capacity for Policymaking in Europe? 11:00-12:30

Chair: Fabiana Scapolo
Discussant: Mohammad Jalal Abbasi-Shavazi

Main results from the Demographic Expert Survey on the Drivers and Consequences of Demographic Change
Anne Goujon, Rossella Icardi

The EU Policy Perspective
• Deša Srsen, Dubravka Šuica

How Low Can Fertility Go? Reflecting on Trends and Scenarios in Europe
• Tomas Sobotka

What Could European Family Formation Policies Look Like?
• Anna Rotkirch

Trends in International Migration: A European Perspective
• Jakub Bijak*

IIASA contributions at the EPC 2024

  • Thursday, 13 June 2024

Session 2 Machine Learning Approaches for Population Research 9:00-10:30

The EU Migration Flow Proportions by Age, Sex and Educational Attainment
Dilek Yildiz, Guy J. Abel

Disaggregation of National Level Population Projections to Municipal Level Using a Neural Network Approach
Orlando Olaya Bucaro, Andrea Tamburini, Erich Striessnig, Claudio Bosco

Session 3 Ageing and its Consequences 9:00-10:30
Chair: Anne Goujon

Session 7 Internal Migration and Urbanization 9:00-10:30

Climate Change, Aridity, and Internal Migration: Evidence from Census Microdata for 72 Countries
Roman Hoffmann, Guy J. Abel, Maurizio Malpede, Raya Muttarak, Marco Percoco

Session 8 Harnessing the Power of Genealogical Data: Opportunities and Challenges 9:00 - 9:30

Leaving for Life: Using Online Crowd-Sourced Genealogies to Estimate the Migrant Mortality Advantage for the United Kingdom and Ireland during the 18th and 19th Centuries
• Elena Pojman, Duke Mwedzi, Orlando Olaya Bucaro, Stephanie Zhang, Michael Chong, Monica Alexander, Diego Alburez-Gutierrez

Session 11 Climate Change Impacts in the Global South 9:00 - 10:30

Climate Change and Sex Ratios at Birth
• Jasmin Abdel Ghany, Joshua K. Wilde, Anna Dimitrova, Ridhi Kashyap, Raya Muttarak

  • Friday, 14 June 2024

Flash Session 53 Climate Change, Individual Attitudes and Behavior 9:00 - 10:30

Heat Exposure and Heterogeneities in Climate Change Attitudes and Green Voting in Europe
• Jacopo Bassetto, Jonas Peisker, Roman Hoffmann, Piero Stanig, Raya Muttarak

Are Climate Change Concerns Related to Fertility Intentions, and for Whom? Evidence from Five European Countries.
• Irene Frageri, Francesca Luppi, Raya Muttarak, Alessandro Rosina

Flash Session 54 International Migration 9:00 - 10:30
Guy J. Abel

The Potential Impact of Migration on Prospective Population Ageing in Asia
• Markus Dörflinger, Michaela Potancoková, Guillaume Marois

Session 61 EuroMigration Insights: Unraveling Patterns and Returns in European Mobility 9:00 - 10:30
Guillaume Marois

Session 73 Innovations in Demographic Modelling and Projections 11:00 - 12:30

Broken Down by Age and More: A Smooth Bayesian Approach Towards Modeling Heterogeneous Multi-Population Data
Gregor Zens

58 Regional Heterogeneity of Fertility within Countries 9:00-10:30

Assessing the Impact of Temperature Anomalies on Fertility: A Municipality-Level Analysis of Birth Rates in Mexico (1985-2020)
• Itza Akari Olguin Zuniga, Côme Cheritel, Raya Muttarak

Session 83 Economic Impacts of Population Change 14:00 - 15:30

Population Aging and Economic Dependency in Thailand: A multidimensional Prospective Analysis
Guillaume Marois, Stuart Gietel-Basten, Wiraporn Pothisiri

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