Model
The linkage algorithms solve the problem of linking models, e.g. sectorial and/or regional, into an inter-sectorial inter-regional integrated model. Linkage enables to avoid “hard linking” of models in a single code, which saves the programming time and enables parallel distributed computations of individual models instead of a large scale integrated model. Models linkage preserves the structure of the original models taking into account critically important details, which are usually missing in aggregate models.
Tool
The current state of the world affairs calls for a revival of systems thinking to improve decision-making. Recognizing that the tightening of socio-economic links heightens the need for holistic responses, that disciplinary and sectorial solutions are of limited effectiveness and efficiency, and that big data is not generating integrative perspectives by itself, highlights the need for policymakers to become thoroughly familiar with the promises and pitfalls of systems analysis. Challenges are systemic, dynamic, and interconnected, and systems analysis, coupled with an improved anticipation, provides a coherent methodology and necessary tools to develop new approaches so urgently required for more coherent and effective policy planning.
Tool
We are developing and applying a range of methods for integrated multi-attribute evaluation under risk, subject to incomplete or imperfect information, and evaluations of decision situations using imprecise utilities, probabilities, and weights, as well as qualitative estimates between these components derived from sets of weight, utility and probability measures. To avoid some mathematical aggregation problems when handling set membership functions and similar, we use higher-order distributions for better discrimination between the possible outcomes.
Tool
The FRMC was created by the Zurich Flood Resilience Alliance in 2013 and is an innovation in community flood resilience theory and practice. It allows users to generate evidence about the ways in which a given area or community is already resilient to floods, as well as providing a guide to further develop this resilience
Tool
AgroTutor provides highly specific and timely agricultural recommendations to farmers across Mexico and complements the work of local extension agents. Although most of the benchmarking information provided in the app is specific to Mexico, some of the functionalities can be used anywhere in the world. Give it a try!
Model
The DisruptSupplyChain model assesses the indirect economic impacts of disasters by explicitly quantifying the disturbances on supply chains. It simulates, in space and time, how transport infrastructure disruptions perturb the flows of goods in supply chains and how these perturbations affect households, firms, and trade.
Model
Pathfinder is designed to fill a perceived gap within the existing simple climate models by fulfilling three key requirements: (1) the capacity to be calibrated using Bayesian inference, (2) the capacity to be coupled with integrated assessment models (IAMs), and (3) the capacity to explore a very large number of climate scenarios to narrow down those compatible with limiting climate impacts.
Model
Welcome to the world of PlantFATE, a novel eco-evolutionary vegetation model designed to unravel the intricate dynamics of forests and their response to environmental change. PlantFATE stands as a powerful tool to guide conservation efforts, inform policy decisions, and foster a deeper appreciation for the wonders of nature. Embark on a journey through the intricate tapestry of forest resilience with PlantFATE as your guide.