The third workshop of the Foresight Exercise is organized in the framework of the “Emerging trade routes between Europe and Asia” scenario building project. 

icebreaker © Lochstampfer | Dreamstime.com

In March-May 2021, IIASA researchers conducted a survey on the plausible futures of shipping in the Arctic. It allowed ranking the most important factors and wildcards for the navigation over the Northern Sea Route in the next 30 years. Based on the analysis of the survey results, literature review, and previous workshops, draft skeletons of several plausible scenarios were constructed. The aim of the third workshop is to discuss these draft skeletons with experts with the goal to enrich and detail the scenario narratives. Workshop participants evaluate the plausibility of each of the scenario skeletons and to discuss factors, which can play an important role in each particular skeleton.

Upcoming Events

University College Dublin (UCD)

Special Issue in Futures and July iEMSs Workshop

Johannessaal, Austrian Academy of Sciences, Dr. Ignaz Seipel-Platz 2, 1010 Vienna

Inaugural Howard Raiffa Lecture: The Ethics of National Security Decisions: Lessons from the Social Sciences

Helsinki, Finland

The transformative power of education

Segovia,Spain

Climate Change and Insurance Workshop 2026 (CCI26)

Barcelona, Spain

OEMC Final Global Workshop 2026

Barcelona, Spain

ENFORCE Annual Project Meeting

Beijing, China

Overshoot Conference 2026

IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria

GAINS Model Workshop