The third workshop of the Foresight Exercise is organized in the framework of the “Emerging trade routes between Europe and Asia” scenario building project. 

icebreaker © Lochstampfer | Dreamstime.com

In March-May 2021, IIASA researchers conducted a survey on the plausible futures of shipping in the Arctic. It allowed ranking the most important factors and wildcards for the navigation over the Northern Sea Route in the next 30 years. Based on the analysis of the survey results, literature review, and previous workshops, draft skeletons of several plausible scenarios were constructed. The aim of the third workshop is to discuss these draft skeletons with experts with the goal to enrich and detail the scenario narratives. Workshop participants evaluate the plausibility of each of the scenario skeletons and to discuss factors, which can play an important role in each particular skeleton.

Upcoming Events

Antalya, Türkiye

IIASA at the UN Climate Change Conference

Online (Microsoft Teams) – registration required

How Cities Can Use Citizen Data for Climate Action?

Otto Wagner-Postsparkasse, Georg-Coch-Platz 2, 1010 Vienna

Science Meets Art Exhibition: Future on trial: Between unruly evidence and unfinished climate justice

Beijing, China

Overshoot Conference 2026

Austrian Academy of Sciences (ÖAW), Seminar Room 1, Bäckerstraße 13, 1010 Vienna, Austria

Citizen Science and Remote Sensing for Forest Monitoring

IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria

GAINS Model Workshop