Tipping points webinar series: Moving beyond uncertainty: Rethinking climate models and tipping points

The Tipping points discussion series supports efforts to increase consistency in the treatment of tipping elements in the scientific community, develop a research agenda, and design joint experiments and ideas for a Tipping Element Model Intercomparison Project (TipMip). It is a joint activity of the Analysis, Integration, and Modeling of the Earth System (AIMES) global research project of Future Earth, the Earth Commission Working Group 1 Earth and Human Systems Intercomparison Modelling Project (EHSMIP) under the Global Commons Alliance, and the Safe Landing Climates Light House Activity of World Climate Research Program (WCRP). IIASA co-hosts the scientific secretariat of Working Group 1 of the Earth Commission and is one of the organizers of these events.

As climate change accelerates, it is vital to confront the deep uncertainties in climate models, especially when it comes to tipping points. This webinar will explore the origins of these uncertainties and shift the focus from asking when a model is "good enough" to considering when it becomes too unrealistic to be useful. Approaching consensus on how to deal with such uncertainties is important when working on climate tipping points. By moving beyond traditional approaches to modeling, we can improve the information available for society and policy decisions. This event is essential for climate experts, policymakers, and anyone invested in the future of climate action.

Presentations

• Dave Stainforth (London School of Economics) - Deep uncertainties in climate projections
• Thomas Stocker (University of Bern) - How to approach consensus on climate tipping points and why it is important
• Q&A and discussion 

The session will be moderated by Gabi Hegerl from the University of Edinburgh.

Please click here to register

A recording will be available after the event.