Multidimensional Demographic Modeling (MDM)

Through its research, the MDM Group aims to advance demographic modeling methods to assess and forecast population dynamics with a focus on demographic and spatial heterogeneity under different socioeconomic scenarios at the global, national, and sub-national level.

© Wrightstudio | Dreamstime

© Wrightstudio | Dreamstime

The MDM Group’s research focus is at the core of the IIASA strategic plan in rigorously incorporating the human-centered system model into systems analysis by considering the feedback mechanisms between human and other social, economic, and natural systems. The group has a strong focus on population forecasting using a scenario-based approach allowing for aligning future demographic components with socioeconomic scenarios such as the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs) originally developed for the climate change research community. Apart from updating global projections of population, human capital, and other relevant dimensions using scenarios, the group also carries out innovative, policy-relevant research at the local and regional level, for instance, assessing social vulnerability to COVID-19 at a small spatial scale.

Latest event:

13 Jan 2021
What demographers tell us about the COVID-19 pandemic

IIASA researchers present their latest findings on the demographic aspects of the COVID-19 pandemic. More

05 May 2021 - 08 May 2021
IIASA at the PAA Virtual Annual Meeting 2021

IIASA Population and Just Societies program is presenting new demographic research at the Population Association of Ame... More

29 Nov 2021 - 01 Dec 2021
The Causes and Consequences of Depopulation

IIASA Population and Just Societies Program is co-organizer of the Wittgenstein Centre (IIASA, OeAW, University of Vien... More


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Last edited: 17 May 2021

CONTACT DETAILS

Samir K.C.

Research Group Leader and Senior Research Scholar

Multidimensional Demographic Modeling Research Group

Population and Just Societies Program

T +43(0) 2236 807 424

Katja Scherbov

Program and Project Officer

Population and Just Societies Program

T +43(0) 2236 807 280

PUBLICATIONS

Balachandran, A., James, K.S., van Wissen, L., K.C., S., & Janssen, F. (2021). Can changes in education alter future population ageing in Asia and Europe? Journal of Biosocial Science, 1-13. 10.1017/S0021932021000134. (In Press)

Lutz, W., Reiter, C. , Özdemir, C., Yildiz, D. , Guimaraes, R. , & Goujon, A. (2021). Skills-adjusted human capital shows rising global gap. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 118 (7), e2015826118. 10.1073/pnas.2015826118.

Marois, G. & Aktas, A. (2021). Projecting health-ageing trajectories in Europe using a dynamic microsimulation model. Scientific Reports 11 (1), e1785. 10.1038/s41598-021-81092-z.

International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA)
Schlossplatz 1, A-2361 Laxenburg, Austria
Phone: (+43 2236) 807 0 Fax:(+43 2236) 71 313