The MDM Group’s research focus is at the core of the IIASA strategic plan in rigorously incorporating the human-centered system model into systems analysis by considering the feedback mechanisms between human and other social, economic, and natural systems. The group has a strong focus on population forecasting using a scenario-based approach allowing for aligning future demographic components with socioeconomic scenarios such as the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs) originally developed for the climate change research community. Apart from updating global projections of population, human capital, and other relevant dimensions using scenarios, the group also carries out innovative, policy-relevant research at the local and regional level, for instance, assessing social vulnerability to COVID-19 at a small spatial scale.
IIASA researchers present their latest findings on the demographic aspects of the COVID-19 pandemic. More
Last edited: 17 May 2021
Research Group Leader and Senior Research Scholar Multidimensional Demographic Modeling Research Group - Population and Just Societies Program
Program and Project Officer Population and Just Societies Program
Marois, G. , Gietel-Basten, S., & Lutz, W. (2021). China's low fertility may not hinder future prosperity. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 118 (40), e2108900118. 10.1073/pnas.2108900118.
Balachandran, A., James, K.S., van Wissen, L., K.C., S., & Janssen, F. (2021). Can changes in education alter future population ageing in Asia and Europe? Journal of Biosocial Science, 1-13. 10.1017/S0021932021000134. (In Press)
Lutz, W., Reiter, C. , Özdemir, C., Yildiz, D. , Guimaraes, R. , & Goujon, A. (2021). Skills-adjusted human capital shows rising global gap. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 118 (7), e2015826118. 10.1073/pnas.2015826118.
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