Can we trust the warning signs of an approaching tipping point? In this installment of the Tipping points webinar series, experts will discuss how real-world data can advance our understanding of tipping points.
Scientists are increasingly using resilience indicators to look for early warning signals of critical change in the Earth system. But those signals are only as reliable as the data behind them.
Satellite products can tell different stories. Observations may be noisy, seasonal or incomplete. Missing values and outliers can distort the very indicators researchers use to detect declining resilience.
In this webinar, researchers will explore what happens when real-world data meet tipping point science. From monitoring the resilience of tropical forests from space to understanding how gaps, noise and irregular observations affect critical slowing down signals, the talks will examine how data choices can shape what we think we know about approaching change.
Agenda
- Lana Blaschke (Technical University of Munich): The agony of choice: data and metrics to reliably monitor tropical forest resilience
- Taylor Smith, (University of Potsdam): Moving Targets: Dealing with Irregular, Seasonal, and Noisy Data
- Teng Liu, (Technical University of Munich): When resilience indicators disagree: How data gaps and outliers distort Critical-Slowing-Down signals
- Followed by a moderated discussion with Joshua Buxton (Exeter University)
The webinar will be recorded and shared once it is ready.
The Tipping points discussion series supports efforts to increase consistency in the treatment of tipping elements in the scientific community, develop a research agenda, and design joint experiments and ideas for a Tipping Element Model Intercomparison Project (TipMip). It is a joint activity of the Analysis, Integration, and Modeling of the Earth System (AIMES) global research project of Future Earth, the Earth Commission Working Group 1 Earth and Human Systems Intercomparison Modelling Project (EHSMIP) under the Global Commons Alliance, and the Safe Landing Climates Light House Activity of World Climate Research Program (WCRP).
IIASA co-hosts the scientific secretariat of Working Group 1 of the Earth Commission and is one of the organizers of these events.
Upcoming Events
Chulalongkorn University, Thailand
Training workshop: Demographic analysis with applications to aging, health, and education
Austrian Academy of Sciences, Festsaal Dr. Ignaz Seipel-Platz 2 1010 Wien
More than just climate: Austria's path to a resilient future
Austrian Academy of Sciences, Festive Hall, Dr. Ignaz Seipel-Platz 2, 1010 Vienna
On a Collision Course in Orbit: Who Bears Responsibility for Space Debris?
Austrian Academy of Sciences (ÖAW), Seminar Room 1, Bäckerstraße 13, 1010 Vienna, Austria