Transitions to New Technologies
In terms of systems hierarchy, technological change arises from the spatial and temporal diffusion of individual innovations all the way up to the emergence of new technological combinations that could fundamentally redefine products, services and even entire industries and markets. TNT’s strategic research goal consequently focuses on the systemic aspects of technological change and draws on empirical case studies, novel modeling approaches, as well as scenario studies and robustness analysis to inform technology policy choices from a systemic perspective. A key unifying strategic question addressed by TNT research is to answer what determines the rates of change of individual technologies as well as of entire technology systems in response to the interplay of endogenous (e.g., innovation and market uncertainties) as well as policy (e.g., innovation push and demand pull) variables.
Learn more about TNT's activities:
- Recent and upcoming news & events.
- Projects, models, and data.
- Publications and other resources, references, and educational materials.
- TNT's research is framed using a rich and thorough conceptual framework for “technology.” See “What is Technology?” to learn more.
Projects, Models & Data
PUBLICATIONS
Oshiro, K., Fujimori, S., Ochi, Y., & Ehara, Tomoki (2021). Enabling energy system transition toward decarbonization in Japan through energy service demand reduction. Energy 227, e120464. 10.1016/j.energy.2021.120464.
Dianati, K., Schäfer, L., Milner, J., Gomez Sanabria, A. , Gitau, H., Hale, J., Langmaack, H., Kiesewetter, G., et al. (2021). A System Dynamics-based Scenario Analysis of Residential Solid Waste Management in Kisumu, Kenya. Science of the Total Environment 777, e146200. 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2021.146200.
Zhong, H., Feng, K., Sun, L., Tian, Z., Fischer, G., Cheng, L., & Munoz Castillo, R. (2021). Water-land tradeoffs to meet future demands for sugar crops in Latin America and the Caribbean: A bio-physical and socio-economic nexus perspective. Resources, Conservation and Recycling 169, e105510. 10.1016/j.resconrec.2021.105510.
Annual Report