This installment of the Tipping points webinar series will explore how climate models can help scientists understand climate tipping points and the risks of abrupt, potentially hard-to-reverse changes in the Earth system, while highlighting recent modeling insights, scientific challenges, and what models can and cannot tell us about tipping point risks.
Climate tipping points could trigger abrupt and potentially hard-to-reverse changes in parts of the Earth system. But how can scientists investigate these processes using climate models, and how confident can we be in the results?
This webinar will introduce the Tipping Points Modelling Intercomparison Project (TIPMIP), an international effort to coordinate modeling experiments on tipping points, and examine how it connects to the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP), an international climate modeling project.
Speakers will share recent insights and experiences from climate modeling and discuss scientific challenges and how modeling can support a clearer understanding of tipping point risks.
Agenda
- Ricarda Winkelmann (Max Planck Institute of Geoanthropology): talk TBA
- Colin Jones (University of Leeds): Earth system modelling within TIPMIP: Experiment protocol and first multi-model results
- Bette Otto-Bliesner (National Center for Atmospheric Research): Storylines of Earth System Tipping Point Risks at 2°C Global Warming: The TIPMIP-WhatIf Project
- Followed by a moderated discussion with Lina Teckentrup (Barcelona Supercomputing Center)
The webinar will be recorded and shared once it is ready.
The Tipping points discussion series supports efforts to increase consistency in the treatment of tipping elements in the scientific community, develop a research agenda, and design joint experiments and ideas for a Tipping Element Model Intercomparison Project (TipMip). It is a joint activity of the Analysis, Integration, and Modeling of the Earth System (AIMES) global research project of Future Earth, the Earth Commission Working Group 1 Earth and Human Systems Intercomparison Modelling Project (EHSMIP) under the Global Commons Alliance, and the Safe Landing Climates Light House Activity of World Climate Research Program (WCRP).
IIASA co-hosts the scientific secretariat of Working Group 1 of the Earth Commission and is one of the organizers of these events.
Upcoming Events
Ulaanbaatar, Mongolia and online
UNCCD COP17 side event: Restoring Land, Securing Futures – Carbon Farming in Greater Central Asia
University of Aberdeen Business School, United Kingdom
IIASA at the 2nd Gender Equality, Diversity and Sustainability in Higher Education Conference
Quebec City Convention Centre, Canada
Fire&Ice Workshop: Mapping boreal wildfire risk, population exposure, and health
Royal Belgian institute of Natural Sciences, Rue Vautier 29, 1000 Bruxelles, Belgium
The Final Event of NaturaConnect: Pathways to a Trans-European Nature Network
Chulalongkorn University, Thailand