Warren Sanderson

Warren Sanderson rejoined IIASA in June 2008 as an Institute Scholar. He is also a Professor of Economics and Professor of History at Stony Brook University in New York State, USA. In addition, he is co-chair of the Department of Economics there. He holds a PhD in economics from Stanford University.

Professor Sanderson first came to IIASA in 1980 and worked in the World Population Program. Since that time he has been a recurrent visitor to that Program. His research interests are in population-economic interactions. He has published in a variety of journals, including Nature, Science, Population and Development Review, Demography, Population Studies, and Population Index.

His recent research includes probabilistic population forecasting, measuring aging in ways that take life expectancy change into account, and the effects of education and other demographic changes on economic growth.


Last update: 10 JUN 2008

Sanchez-Niubo, A., Forero, C.G., Wu, Y.-T., Giné-Vázquez, L., Prina, M., De La Fuente, J., Daskalopoulou, C., Critselis, E., et al. (2020). Development of a common scale for measuring healthy ageing across the world: results from the ATHLOS consortium. International Journal of Epidemiology, dyaa236. 10.1093/ije/dyaa236.

Tyrovolas, S., Panaretos, D., Daskalopoulou, C., Gine-Vazquez, I., Niubo, A.S., Olaya, B., Bobak, M., Prince, Ma., et al. (2020). Alcohol Drinking and Health in Ageing: A Global Scale Analysis of Older Individual Data through the Harmonised Dataset of ATHLOS. Nutrients 12 (6), e1746. 10.3390/nu12061746.

Scherbov, S. , Sanderson, W., & Andruchowitz, S. (2020). Aging Demographic Data Sheet 2020. IIASA

Sanderson, W.C. & Scherbov, S. (2020). Choosing between the UN’s alternative views of population aging. PLOS ONE 15 (7), e0233602. 10.1371/journal.pone.0233602.

Scherbov, S. & Sanderson, W. (2020). New Approaches to the Conceptualization and Measurement of Age and Ageing. In: Developments in Demographic Forecasting. Eds. Mazzuco, S. & Keilman, N., pp. 243-258 Cham, Switzerland: Springer. ISBN 978-3-030-42471-810.1007/978-3-030-42472-5_12.

Scherbov, S. , Sanderson, W., & Andruchowitz, S. (2019). United States Aging Data Sheet 2019. IIASA

Sanchez-Niubo, A., Egea-Cortés, L., Olaya, B., Caballero, F., Ayuso-Mateos, J., Prina, M., Bobak, M., Arndt, H., et al. (2019). Cohort profile: The Ageing Trajectories of Health – Longitudinal Opportunities and Synergies (ATHLOS) project. International Journal of Epidemiology 48 (4), dyz077. 10.1093/ije/dyz077.

Lutz, W., Crespo Cuaresma, J., Kebede, E., Prskawetz, A., Sanderson, W., & Striessnig, E. (2019). Education rather than age structure brings demographic dividend. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, e201820362. 10.1073/pnas.1820362116.

Gietel-Basten, S., Mau, V., Sanderson, W., Scherbov, S. , & Shulgin, S. (2019). Ageing in Russia: a Regional Appraisal. Journal of Population Ageing, 1-18. 10.1007/s12062-019-9238-x.

Ghislandi, S., Sanderson, W., & Scherbov, S. (2019). A Simple Measure of Human Development: the Human Life Indicator. Population and Development Review 45 (1), 219-233. 10.1111/padr.12205.

Ediev, D. , Sanderson, W., & Scherbov, S. (2019). The inverse relationship between life expectancy-induced changes in the old-age dependency ratio and the prospective old-age dependency ratio. Theoretical Population Biology 125, 1-10. 10.1016/j.tpb.2018.10.001.

Scherbov, S. , Shulgin, S., Andruchowitz, S., Arkhangelsky, V., Ediev, D. , Efremov, I., Nikitina, S., & Sanderson, W. (2019). Russian Demographic Data Sheet 2019. Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), Russian Federal State Statistics Service (Rosstat), and International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA)

Prskawetz, A., Sanderson, W., & Scherbov, S. (2019). Broadening demographic horizons: demographic studies beyond age and gender. In: Vienna Yearbook of Population Research 2019. pp. 001-005 Verlag der Oesterreichischen Akademie der Wissenschaften. ISBN 978-3-7001-8364-810.1553/POPULATIONYEARBOOK2018S001.

Sanderson, W. & Scherbov, S. (2019). Prospective Longevity: A New Vision of Population Aging. Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press. ISBN 978-0-06-7497561-3

Sanderson, W., Scherbov, S. , & Gerland, P. (2019). The end of population aging in high-income countries. In: Vienna Yearbook of Population Research 2019. pp. 163-175 Verlag der Oesterreichischen Akademie der Wissenschaften. ISBN 978-3-7001-8364-810.1553/POPULATIONYEARBOOK2018S163.

Sanderson, W., Scherbov, S. , & Gerland, P. (2018). The end of population aging in high-income countries. In: Vienna Yearbook of Population Research 2018. Vienna, Austria: Austrian Academy of Sciences.

Scherbov, S. , Andruchowitz, S., & Sanderson, W. (2018). Aging Demographic Data Sheet 2018. International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis

Sanderson, W. & Scherbov, S. (2017). Aumentos na expectativa de vida podem levar a um envelhecimento populacional mais lento. Informe de Previdencia Social-Nota Tecnica

Sanderson, W., Scherbov, S. , & Gerland, P. (2017). Probabilistic Population Aging. PLoS ONE 12 (6), e0179171. 10.1371/journal.pone.0179171.

Sanderson, W. & Scherbov, S. (2017). Gender Inequality in Survival at Older Ages. IIASA Working Paper. IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria: WP-17-002

Gietel-Basten, S., Scherbov, S. , & Sanderson, W. (2017). Towards a reconceptualising of population ageing in emerging markets. In: Vienna Yearbook of Population Research 2016. Eds. Scherbov, S. & Sanderson, W., pp. 41-66 Vienna, Austria: Austrian Academy of Sciences. ISBN 978-3-7001-8151-410.1553/populationyearbook2016s041.

Sanderson, W. & Scherbov, S. (2017). Introduction. In: Vienna Yearbook of Population Research 2016. Eds. Gietel-Basten, S., Scherbov, S. & Sanderson, W., pp. 1-3 Vienna, Austria: Austrian Academy of Sciences. ISBN 978-3-7001-8151-410.1553 / populationyearbook2016s001.

Sanderson, W. & Scherbov, S. (2017). A unifying framework for the study of population aging. In: Vienna Yearbook of Population Research 2016. Eds. Scherbov, S. & Sanderson, W., pp. 7-40 Vienna, Austria: Austrian Academy of Sciences. ISBN 978-3-7001-8151-410.1553/populationyearbook2016s007.

Scherbov, S. & Sanderson, W. (2017). Vienna Yearbook of Population Research 2016. Vienna, Austria: Austrian Academy of Sciences. ISBN 978-3-7001-8151-4

Ediev, D. , Sanderson, W., & Scherbov, S (2016). The Formal Demography of Prospective Age: The Relationship Between the Old-Age Dependency Ratio and the Prospective Old-Age Dependency Ratio. IIASA Working Paper. IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria: WP-16-024

Sanderson, W., Scherbov, S. , Weber, D. , & Bordone, V. (2016). Combined Measures of Upper and Lower Body Strength and Subgroup Differences in Subsequent Survival Among the Older Population of England. Journal of Aging and Health 28 (7), 1178-1193. 10.1177/0898264316656515.

Scherbov, S. & Sanderson, W. (2016). New Approaches to the Conceptualization and Measurement of Age and Aging. Journal of Aging and Health 28 (7), 1159-1177. 10.1177/0898264316656517.

Sanderson, W. & Scherbov, S. (2016). Analyzing Population Aging from a New Perspective. IIASA Policy Brief. Laxenburg, Austria: PB-12

Sanderson, W.C., Scherbov, S. , Weber, D. , & Bordone, V. (2016). Combined Measures of Upper and Lower Body Strength and Subgroup Differences in Subsequent Survival Among the Older Population of England. IIASA Working Paper. IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria: WP-16-008

Scherbov, S. & Sanderson, W.C. (2016). New Approaches to the Conceptualization and Measurement of Age and Aging. IIASA Working Paper. IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria: WP-16-005

Scherbov, S. , Sanderson, W., & Gietel-Basten, S. (2016). Better way to measure ageing in East Asia that takes life expectancy into account. Australasian Journal on Ageing 35 (2), 139-142. 10.1111/ajag.12267.

Sanderson, W.C. & Scherbov, S. (2016). A new perspective on patterns of aging in Europe by education and gender. Journal of Population Ageing 9 (3), 207-225. 10.1007/s12062-015-9125-z.

Sanderson, W.C. & Scherbov, S. (2015). Are we overly dependent on conventional dependency ratios? Population and Development Review 41 (4), 687-708. 10.1111/j.1728-4457.2015.00091.x.

Poblete Cazenave, M. & Sanderson, W.C. (2015). A dismal future? Towards a new model of labor market dynamics based on evolving demographic variables. IIASA Interim Report. IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria: IR-15-017

Aktas, A. & Sanderson, W.C. (2015). A forward looking age based on longevity expectations. IIASA Interim Report. IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria: IR-15-016

Sanderson, W. & Scherbov, S. (2015). An easily understood and intergenerationally equitable normal pension age. In: The Future of Welfare in a Global Europe. Eds. Marin, Bernd, pp. 193-220 Farnham: Ashgate. ISBN 978-1-4724-6309-8

Gietel-Basten, S., Scherbov, S. , & Sanderson, W. (2015). Remeasuring ageing in Southeast Asia. Asian Population Studies 11 (2), 191-210. 10.1080/17441730.2015.1052201.

Sanderson, W.C. & Scherbov, S. (2015). Faster increases in human life expectancy could lead to slower population aging. PLoS ONE 10 (4), e0121922. 10.1371/journal.pone.0121922.

Sanderson, W., Tarasyev, A., & Usova, A. (2015). Optimal two sector growth models with three factors. Review of Development Economics 19 (1), 85-99. 10.1111/rode.12128.

Sanderson, W.C. & Scherbov, S. (2014). An Easily Understood and Intergenerationally Equitable Normal Pension Age. IIASA Interim Report. IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria: IR-14-020

Lutz, W., Butz, W.P., K.C., S., Sanderson, W.C., & Scherbov, S. (2014). Population growth: Peak probability. Science 346 (6209), p. 561. 10.1126/science.346.6209.561-a.

Scherbov, S. , Sanderson, W.C., K.C., S., & Lutz, W. (2014). Remeasuring 21st century population ageing. In: World Population and Human Capital in the Twenty-first Century. Eds. Lutz, W, Butz, WP & KC, S, UK: Oxford University Press. ISBN 0198703163

Sanderson, W.C. & Scherbov, S. (2014). Measuring the speed of aging across population subgroups. PLoS ONE 9 (5), e96289. 10.1371/journal.pone.0096289.

Scherbov, S. , Sanderson, W.C., & Mamolo, M. (2014). Quantifying policy tradeoffs to support aging populations. Demographic Research 30 (20), 579-608. 10.4054/DemRes.2014.30.20.

Crespo Cuaresma, J., Lutz, W., & Sanderson, W.C. (2014). Is the demographic dividend an education dividend? Demography 51 (1), 299-315. 10.1007/s13524-013-0245-x.

Sanderson, W.C. & Scherbov, S. (2013). The characteristics approach to the measurement of population aging. Population and Development Review 39 (4), 673-685. 10.1111/j.1728-4457.2013.00633.x.

Sanderson, W.C. & Scherbov, S. (2013). The Characteristics Approach to the Measurement of Population Aging. IIASA Interim Report. IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria: IR-13-007

Sanderson, W.C., Striessnig, E. , Schöpp, W. , & Amann, M. (2013). Effects on well-being of investing in cleaner air in India. Environmental Science & Technology 47 (23), 13222-13229. 10.1021/es402867r.

Garbero, A. & Sanderson, W.C. (2012). Forecasting Mortality Convergence Up to 2100. IIASA Interim Report. IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria: IR-12-013

Scherbov, S. , Sanderson, W.C., & Mamolo, M. (2012). Quantifying Policy Tradeoffs to Support Aging Populations. IIASA Interim Report. IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria: IR-12-015

Crespo Cuaresma, J., Lutz, W., & Sanderson, W.C. (2012). Age Structure, Education and Economic Growth. IIASA Interim Report. IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria: IR-12-011

Scherbov, S. , Lutz, W., & Sanderson, W.C. (2011). The uncertain timing of reaching 8 billion, peak world population, and other demographic milestones. Population and Development Review 37 (3), 571-578. 10.1111/j.1728-4457.2011.00435.x.

Sanderson, W.C., Skirbekk, V., & Stonawski, M. (2011). Young Adult Failure to Thrive Syndrome. IIASA Interim Report. IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria: IR-11-003

Scherbov, S. , Lutz, W., & Sanderson, W.C. (2011). The Uncertain Timing of Reaching 7 Billion and Peak Population. IIASA Interim Report. IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria: IR-11-002

Sanderson, W.C. & Scherbov, S. (2010). Remeasuring aging. Science 329 (5997), 1287-1288. 10.1126/science.1193647.

Sanderson, W.C., Tarasyev, A.M., & Usova, A.A. (2010). Capital vs education: Assessment of economic growth from two perspectives (Abstract). In: [[NOLCOS 2010]], 8th IFAC Symposium on Nonlinear Control Systems, 1-3 September 2010, University of Bologna, Italy

K.C., S., Barakat, B., Goujon, A. , Skirbekk, V., Sanderson, W.C., & Lutz, W. (2010). Projection of populations by level of educational attainment, age, and sex for 120 countries for 2005-2050. Demographic Research 22 (15), 383-472. 10.4054/DemRes.2010.22.15.

Sanderson, W.C. & Scherbov, S. (2009). Future Trends in the Prevalence of Severe Activity Limitations in Developed Countries. IIASA Interim Report. IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria: IR-09-047

Sanderson, W.C. & Scherbov, S. (2009). Aging: A new look into an old problem. DOI:10.1007/s00508-009-1195-6. In: Proceedings of the International Conference on Aging.

Sanderson, W.C. & Striessnig, E. (2009). Demography, Education, and the Future of Total Factor Productivity Growth. IIASA Interim Report. IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria: IR-09-002

Lutz, W., Sanderson, W.C., Scherbov, S. , & K.C., S. (2009). Demographic and human-capital trends in Eastern Europe and Sub-Saharan Africa. In: Talent, Competitiveness and Migration. Eds. Stiftung, Bertelsmann & Institute, Migration Policy, Guetersloh: Verlag Bertelsmann Stiftung. ISBN 978-3-86793-039-0

Sanderson, W.C. & Scherbov, S. (2008). Rethinking age and aging. Population Bulletin 63 (4), 1-16.

Lutz, W., Sanderson, W.C., Scherbov, S. , & K.C., S. (2008). Demographic and Human-Capital Trends in Eastern Europe and Sub-Saharan Africa. Washington: Migration Policy Institute.

Lutz, W., Sanderson, W.C., & Scherbov, S. (2008). Global and Regional Population Ageing: How Certain Are We of its Dimensions? IIASA Interim Report. IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria: IR-08-015

O'Neill, B.C. & Sanderson, W.C. (2008). Population, uncertainty, and learning in climate change decision analysis. Climatic Change 89 (1), 87-123. 10.1007/s10584-008-9419-8.

Heiland, F., Prskawetz, A., & Sanderson, W.C. (2008). Are individuals' desired family sizes stable? Evidence from West German panel data. European Journal of Population 24 (2), 129-156. 10.1007/s10680-008-9162-x.

Lutz, W., Sanderson, W.C., & Scherbov, S. (2008). Global and regional population ageing: How certain are we of its dimensions? Population Ageing 1 (1), 75-97. 10.1007/s12062-009-9005-5.

Lutz, W., Crespo Cuaresma, J., & Sanderson, W.C. (2008). The demography of educational attainment and economic growth. Science 319 (5866), 1047-1048. 10.1126/science.1151753.

Lutz, W., Sanderson, W.C., & Scherbov, S. (2008). The coming acceleration of global population ageing. Nature 451 (7179), 716-719. 10.1038/nature06516.

Lutz, W., Goujon, A. , K.C., S., & Sanderson, W.C. (2007). Reconstruction of populations by age, sex and level of educational attainment for 120 countries for 1970-2000. In: Vienna Yearbook of Population Research. pp. 193-235 Vienna, Austria: Verlag der Österreichischen Akademie der Wissenschaften. 10.1553/populationyearbook2007s193.

Melnikov, N. & Sanderson, W.C. (2007). Intergenerational Transfers as a Link between Overlapping Generations and Ramsey Models. IIASA Interim Report. IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria: IR-07-013

Sanderson, W.C. & Scherbov, S. (2007). A new perspective on population aging. Demographic Research 16 (2), 27-58. 10.4054/DemRes.2007.16.2.

Lutz, W., Goujon, A. , K.C., S., & Sanderson, W.C. (2007). Reconstruction of Populations by Age, Sex and Level of Educational Attainment for 120 Countries for 1970-2000. IIASA Interim Report. IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria: IR-07-002

Sanderson, W.C. & Scherbov, S. (2007). A Near Electoral Majority of Pensioners: Prospects and Policies. IIASA Research Report (Reprint). IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria: RP-07-003. Reprinted from Population and Development Review, 33(3):543-554 (September 2007).

Sanderson, W.C. & Scherbov, S. (2007). A near electoral majority of pensioners: Prospects and policies. Population and Development Review 33 (3), 543-554. 10.1111/j.1728-4457.2007.00184.x.

O'Neill, B., Crutzen, P., Grubler, A. , Duong, M.H., Keller, K., Kolstad, C., Koomey, J., Lange, A., et al. (2006). Learning and climate change. Climate Policy 6 (5), 585-589. 10.1080/14693062.2006.9685623.

Sanderson, W.C. & Scherbov, S. (2005). A New Perspective on Population Aging. IIASA Interim Report. IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria: IR-05-060

Sanderson, W.C. & Scherbov, S. (2005). Average remaining lifetimes can increase as human populations age. Nature 435 (7043), 811-813. 10.1038/nature03593.

Lutz, W. & Sanderson, W.C. (2005). Toward a concept of population balance considering age-structure, human capital, and intergenerational equity. In: Population, Resources and Development: Riding the Age Waves - Volume 1. Eds. Tuljapurkar, S., Pool, I. & Prachuabmoh, V., Dordrecht: Springer-Verlag. 10.1007/1-4020-3464-4.

O'Neill, B.C. & Sanderson, W.C. (2005). Population, Uncertainty, and Learning in Climate Change Decision Analysis. Annual Meeting of the Population Association of America; 31 March 2005, Philadelphia, USA [2005]

Sanderson, W.C. & Scherbov, S. (2005). Average Remaining Lifetimes Can Increase as Human Populations Age. IIASA Research Report (Reprint). IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria: RP-05-006. Reprinted from Nature, 435(7043):811-813 (9 June 2005).

Sanderson, W.C. & Scherbov, S. (2004). Putting Oeppen and Vaupel to Work: On the Road to New Stochastic Mortality Forecasts. IIASA Interim Report. IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria: IR-04-049

Sanderson, W.C. (2004). The SEDIM Model: Version 0.1. IIASA Interim Report. IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria: IR-04-041

Sanderson, W.C., Scherbov, S. , O'Neill, B.C., & Lutz, W. (2004). Conditional probabilistic population forecasting. International Statistical Review 72 (2), 157-166. 10.1111/j.1751-5823.2004.tb00230.x.

Lutz, W., Sanderson, W.C., & Scherbov, S. (2004). The End of World Population Growth in the 21st Century: New Challenges for Human Capital Formation and Sustainable Development. London: Earthscan. ISBN 9781844070992

Lutz, W. & Sanderson, W.C. (2004). Introduction. In: The End of World Population Growth in the 21st Century: New Challenges for Human Capital Formation and Sustainable Development. Eds. Lutz, W., Sanderson, W.C. & Scherbov, S. , London: Earthscan. ISBN 9781844070992

Lutz, W., Sanderson, W.C., & O'Neill, B.C. (2004). Conceptualizing population in sustainable development: From "population stabilization" to "population balance". In: The End of World Population Growth in the 21st Century: New Challenges for Human Capital Formation and Sustainable Development. Eds. Lutz, W., Sanderson, W.C. & Scherbov, S. , London: Earthscan. ISBN 9781844070992

Lutz, W., Sanderson, W.C., & Scherbov, S. (2004). The end of world population growth. In: The End of World Population Growth in the 21st Century: New Challenges for Human Capital Formation and Sustainable Development. Eds. Lutz, W., Sanderson, W.C. & Scherbov, S. , London: Earthscan. ISBN 9781844070992

Sanderson, W.C. (2004). Interactions between education and HIV: Demographic examples from Botswana. In: The End of World Population Growth in the 21st Century: New Challenges for Human Capital Formation and Sustainable Development. Eds. Lutz, W., Sanderson, W.C. & Scherbov, S. , London: Earthscan. ISBN 9781844070992

Sanderson, W.C., Scherbov, S. , Lutz, W., & O'Neill, B.C. (2004). Applications of probabilistic population forecasting. In: The End of World Population Growth in the 21st Century: New Challenges for Human Capital Formation and Sustainable Development. Eds. Lutz, W., Sanderson, W.C. & Scherbov, S. , London: Earthscan. ISBN 9781844070992

Sanderson, W.C., Scherbov, S. , O'Neill, B.C., & Lutz, W. (2003). Conditional Probabilistic Population Forecasting. IIASA Interim Report. IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria: IR-03-052

Lutz, W., Scherbov, S. , & Sanderson, W.C. (2003). The end of population growth in Asia. Journal of Population Research 20 (1), 125-141. 10.1007/BF03031799.

Lutz, W., Shah, M.M., Bilsborrow, R.E., Bongaarts, J., Dasgupta, P., Entwisle, B., Fischer, G., Jerneloev, A., et al. (2002). Population belongs on the Johannesburg Agenda. Global Change & Human Health 3 (1), 33-35. 10.1023/A:1019617126632.

Lutz, W., Shah, M.M., Bilsborrow, R.E., Bongaarts, J., Dasgupta, P., Entwisle, B., Fischer, G., Jerneloev, A., et al. (2002). The Global Science Panel on Population in Sustainable Development. Population and Development Review 28 (2), 367-369. 10.1111/j.1728-4457.2002.00367.x.

Lutz, W., Prskawetz, A., & Sanderson, W.C. (2002). Introduction (Population and Environment: Methods of Analysis). In: Population and Environment: Methods of Analysis. Eds. Lutz, W., Prskawetz, A. & Sanderson, W.C., pp. 1-21 New York: Population Council. ISBN 978-0878341047

Lutz, W., Prskawetz, A., & Sanderson, W.C. (2002). Population and Environment: Methods of Analysis. New York: Population Council. ISBN 0-87834-104-8

Lutz, W., Sanderson, W.C., & Wils, A.B. (2002). Conclusions: Toward comprehensive P-E studies. In: Population and Environment: Methods of Analysis. Eds. W.C., W. Lutz, A. Prskawetz, & Sanderson, , New York: Population Council.

Lutz, W., Sanderson, W.C., & Scherbov, S. (2001). The end of world population growth. Nature 412 (6846), 543-545. 10.1038/35087589.

Sanderson, W.C. (2001). The mixed blessing of anti-retroviral therapy. AIDS Analysis Africa 12 (1), 12-13.

Sanderson, W.C., Fuller, B., Hellmuth, M., & Strzepek, K.M. (2001). Namibia's Future: Modeling Population and Sustainable Development Challenges in the Era of HIV/AIDS. Executive Summary (2001)

Sanderson, W.C., Hellmuth, M., & Strzepek, K.M. (2001). Botswana's Future: Modeling Population and Sustainable Development Challenges in the Era of HIV/AIDS. Executive Summary (2001)

Lutz, W. & Sanderson, W.C. (2001). Toward a Concept of "Population Balance" Considering Age-Structure, Human Capital, and Intergenerational Equity. IIASA Interim Report. IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria: IR-01-003

Lutz, W., Sanderson, W.C., & Scherbov, S. (2001). The End of World Population Growth. IIASA Research Report (Reprint). IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria: RR-01-012. Reprinted from Nature; 412(6846):543-545 (2 August 2001)

Lutz, W., Prieto, L., & Sanderson, W.C. (2000). Population, Development, and Environment on the Yucatan Peninsula: From Ancient Maya to 2030. IIASA Research Report. IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria: RR-00-014

Lutz, W., Saariluoma, P., Sanderson, W.C., & Scherbov, S. (2000). New Developments in the Methodology of Expert- and Argument-Based Probabilistic Population Forecasting. IIASA Interim Report. IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria: IR-00-020

Lutz, W., Sanderson, W.C., & Scherbov, S. (2000). Likely future population trends in Greece and in the European Union. In: Demographic Ageing: Proceedings of a European Union-sponsored Symposium on "The Challenge of Demographic Ageing and the Knowledge-Based Society", 2-3 November 2000.

Bauer, D., Feichtinger, G., Lutz, W., & Sanderson, W.C. (1999). Variances of Population Projections: Comparison of Two Approaches. IIASA Interim Report. IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria: IR-99-063

Lutz, W., Sanderson, W.C., & Scherbov, S. (1999). Expert-based probabilistic population projections. In: Frontiers of Population Forecasting. Eds. Lutz, W., Vaupel, J.W. & Ahlburg, D.A., New York: Population Council.

Gragnani, A., Milik, A., Prskawetz, A., & Sanderson, W.C. (1998). Persistent unstable equilibria and the grace period in dynamic models of environmental change. Dynamics and Stability of Systems 13 (1), 3-25. 10.1080/02681119808806252.

Lutz, W., Sanderson, W.C., & Scherbov, S. (1997). Doubling of world population unlikely. Nature 387 (6635), 803-805.

Lutz, W., Sanderson, W.C., & Scherbov, S. (1997). Doubling of World Population Unlikely. IIASA Research Report (Reprint). IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria: RR-97-010. Reprinted from Nature; 387(6635):803-805 (19 June 1997)

Milik, A., Prskawetz, A., Feichtinger, G., & Sanderson, W.C. (1996). Slow-Fast dynamics in Wonderland. Environmental Modeling & Assessment 10.1007/BF01874842.

Lutz, W., Sanderson, W.C., & Scherbov, S. (1996). Probabilistic World Population Projections Based on Expert Opinion. IIASA Working Paper. IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria: WP-96-017

Gröller, E., Wegenkittl, R, Milik, A., Prskawetz, A., Feichtinger, G., & Sanderson, W.C. (1996). The geometry of Wonderland. Chaos, Solitons & Fractals 7 (12), 1989-2006. 10.1016/S0960-0779(96)00067-7.

Lutz, W., Sanderson, W.C., & Scherbov, S. (1996). Probabilistic population projections based on expert opinion. In: The Future Population of the World: What Can We Assume Today? Eds. Lutz, W., London: Earthscan. ISBN 1853833495

Lutz, W., Sanderson, W.C., Scherbov, S. , & Goujon, A. (1996). World population scenarios for the 21st century. In: The Future Population of the World: What Can We Assume Today? Eds. Lutz, W., London: Earthscan. ISBN 1853833495

Milik, A., Prskawetz, A., Feichtinger, G., & Sanderson, W.C. (1996). Slow-fast Dynamics in Wonderland. IIASA Research Report (Reprint). IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria: RR-96-020. Reprinted from Environmental Modeling and Assessment, 1(1-2):3-17 (March 1996).

Rinaldi, S., Sanderson, W.C., & Gragnani, A. (1996). Pollution control policies and natural resource dynamics: A theoretical analysis. Journal of Environmental Management 48 (4), 357-373. 10.1006/jema.1996.0083.

Gragnani, A., Milik, A., Prskawetz, A., & Sanderson, W.C. (1995). Persistent Unstable Equilibria in Wonderland. IIASA Working Paper. IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria: WP-95-118

Rinaldi, S., Sanderson, W.C., & Gragnani, A. (1995). Pollution Control Policies and Natural Resource Dynamics: A Theoretical Analysis. IIASA Working Paper. IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria: WP-95-108

Sanderson, W.C. & Tan, J.-P. (1995). Population in Asia. Washington: The World Bank. ISBN 978-0-8213-3131-6

Sanderson, W.C. (1995). Predictability, complexity, and catastrophe in a collapsible model of population, development, and environmental interactions. Mathematical Population Studies 5 (3), 259-279. 10.1080/08898489509525405.

Sanderson, W.C. (1994). Predictability, Complexity, and Catastrophe in a Collapsible Model of Population, Development, and Environmental Interactions. IIASA Working Paper. IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria: WP-94-075

Sanderson, W.C. (1994). Simulation models of demographic, economic, and environmental interactions. In: Population-Development-Environment: Understanding their Interactions in Mauritius. Eds. Lutz, W., Heidelberg: Springer-Verlag. ISBN 3-540-58301-7

Sanderson, W.C. (1992). Simulation Models of Economic, Demographic, and Environmental Interactions: Are They on a Sustainable Development Path? IIASA Working Paper. IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria: WP-92-087

Kelley, A.C., Sanderson, W.C., & Williamson, J.G. (1983). Modeling Growing Economies in Equilibrium and Disequilibrium. Durham: Duke University Press. ISBN 0-8223-0567-4

Kunreuther, H.C., Sanderson, W.C., & Vetschera, R. (1982). Prospect Theory and Insurance Behavior. IIASA Collaborative Paper. IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria: CP-82-013

Sanderson, W.C. (1981). An Analytically Based Two-Sex Marriage Model and Maximum Likelihood Estimates of its Parameters: Austria, 1979. IIASA Working Paper. IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria: WP-81-130

Sanderson, W.C. (1980). Economic-Demographic Simulation Models: A Review of Their Usefulness for Policy Analysis. IIASA Research Report. IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria: RR-80-014