Probabilistic Forecasting
Lutz, Wolfgang, Ed. 1996. The Future Population of the World: What Can We Assume Today? Revised Edition. London: Earthscan.
Lutz, Wolfgang, Warren C. Sanderson, and Sergei Scherbov, Eds. 2004. The End of World Population Growth in the 21st Century: New Challenges for Human Capital Formation and Sustainable Development. London: Earthscan.
National Research Council (NRC). 2000. Beyond Six Billion: Forecasting the World's Population Panel on Population Projections. J. Bongaarts and R.A. Bulatao (Eds.) Committee on Population, Commission on Behavioral Sciences and Education. Washington, D.C.: National Academy Press.
More reading: Lutz, Wolfgang and Sergei Scherbov. 2003. Toward Structural and Argument-Based Probabilistic Population Projections in Asia: Endogenizing the Education-Fertility Links. Laxenburg, Austria: IIASA, IR-03-014 (April 2003).
Lutz, Wolfgang, Warren C. Sanderson, and Sergei Scherbov, Eds. 2004. The End of World Population Growth in the 21st Century. New Challenges for Human Capital Formation and Sustainable Development. London: Earthscan