Wolfgang Lutz, Interim IIASA Deputy Director General for Science, speaks at the Beijing Forum 2022 addressing the issue of low fertility and global population pattern.
The World Population Prospects 2022 report showed that the world's population will grow to about 9.7 billion in 2050, with the elderly population aged 65 and over accounting for about 16% by 2050. Within this context, Beijing University hosts Beijing Forum 2022, a 2-day hybrid conference to facilitate discussion on opportunities in the midst of challenges to empower each individual person with greater rights to development and more choices within the process of collective human civilization. The conference will bring together local and global leaders and scientific experts in demography and population sciences, and serve as an international platform to facilitate mutual learning, global dialogue, and ultimately a joint response.
The title of the forum is "Eight Billion People: Global Population Patterns and Sustainable Development of Economy, Society, and Civilization conference”, aiming to respond to key demographic issues including but not limited to negative population growth, low fertility rate, population aging, and structural shortage of labor resources.
Wolfgang Lutz will deliver a presentation at the forum titled “Why is low fertility considered to be a problem?”, sharing his insights about population patterns and fertility.
Lutz has widely published on international population trends with a special focus on population forecasting, population-development-environment interactions, and introducing education as a standard demographic dimension in addition to age and sex.
Lutz, W. (2020). Fertility will be determined by the changing ideal family size and the empowerment to reach these targets. In: Vienna Yearbook of Population Research 2020. pp. 1-8 Vienna, Austria: Österreichischen Akademie der Wissenschaften. ISBN 978-3-7001-8702-8 10.1553/populationyearbook2020.deb06.
Lutz, W., Striessnig, E. , Dimitrova, A., Ghislandi, S., Lijadi, A., Reiter, C. , Spitzer, S. , & Yildiz, D. (2021). Years of good life is a well-being indicator designed to serve research on sustainability. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 118 (12) e1907351118. 10.1073/pnas.1907351118.
Marois, G. , Gietel-Basten, S., & Lutz, W. (2021). China's low fertility may not hinder future prosperity. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 118 (40) e2108900118. 10.1073/pnas.2108900118.
Bora, J., Saikia, N., Kebede, E.B., & Lutz, W. (2022). Revisiting the causes of fertility decline in Bangladesh: the relative importance of female education and family planning programs. Asian Population Studies 1-24. 10.1080/17441730.2022.2028253.
Marois, G. , Rotkirch, A., & Lutz, W. (2022). Future population ageing and productivity in Finland under different education and fertility scenarios. Finnish Yearbook of Population Research 56 137-160. 10.23979/fypr.119666.
04 December 2022 Cape Town, South Africa
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