Celian Colon
Research Scholar
Exploratory Modeling of Human-natural Systems Research Group
Advancing Systems Analysis Program
Biography
Celian Colon is a research scholar in the Exploratory Modeling of Human-Natural Systems Research Group of the IIASA Advancing Systems Analysis Program. His research focuses on modeling systemic risks, disruption cascades, and tipping points in ecological and economic systems, utilizing system dynamics, agent-based modeling, and complex networks.One of his main contributions is the development of the DisruptSC model, which analyzes the criticality of transport networks and supply chains to extreme events. The World Bank has applied this to various countries.
He completed his PhD in Applied Mathematics under Prof. Michael Ghil at Ecole Normale Superieure, Paris, in 2017, with a thesis titled, Modeling Economic Resilience. He also holds a master’s degree in environmental technology and policy from Imperial College London, which he acquired in 2011. Prior to this, in 2010, he graduated from Ecole Polytechnique, a multidisciplinary engineering school in Paris.
Last update: 08 APR 2025
Publications
Colon, C. , Hallegatte, S., & Rozenberg, J. (2021). Criticality analysis of a country’s transport network via an agent-based supply chain model. Nature Sustainability 4 (3) 209-215. 10.1038/s41893-020-00649-4.
Colon, C. (2021). DisruptSupplyChain Model.
Colon, C. , Brännström, Å., Rovenskaya, E. , & Dieckmann, U. (2020). Fragmentation of production amplifies systemic risks from extreme events in supply-chain networks. PLoS ONE 15 (12) e0244196. 10.1371/journal.pone.0244196.
Hochrainer-Stigler, S. , Colon, C. , Boza, G. , Poledna, S., Rovenskaya, E. , & Dieckmann, U. (2020). Enhancing Resilience of Systems to Individual and Systemic Risk: Steps toward An Integrative Framework. International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction 51 e101868. 10.1016/j.ijdrr.2020.101868.
Hochrainer-Stigler, S. , Colon, C. , Boza, G. , Brännström, Å., Linnerooth-Bayer, J., Pflug, G. , Poledna, S., Rovenskaya, E. , & Dieckmann, U. (2019). Measuring, modeling, and managing systemic risk: the missing aspect of human agency. Journal of Risk Research 1-17. 10.1080/13669877.2019.1646312.