The Energy, Climate, and Environment Program hosts a large number of scenario ensembles and databases for the integrated assessment modelling community and various research projects.

The research theme Scenario Services & Scientific Software maintains the Scenario Explorer infrastructure and develops open-source tools for scenario analysis and data visualization. This work facilitates model comparison projects and the dissemination of research output in stakeholder-focused formats. It fosters the adoption of the FAIR principles for open science and reproducible research at IIASA and in the wider community.

The scenario ensembles listed on this page follow the data format and naming conventions established by the Integrated Assessment Modeling Consortium (IAMC). More

WGIII AR6 Report Cover © IPCC

AR6 Scenario Explorer and Database hosted by IIASA

This Scenario Explorer presents an ensemble of quantitative, model-based pathways underpinning the Sixth Assessment Report (AR6) of Working Group III by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), published in 2022. Scenario Explorer More

ENGAGE © 2020 IIASA

The ENGAGE Scenario Explorer

The Horizon 2020 project ENGAGE quantifies avoided climate change impacts through analysis of the exposure and associated costs for individual sectors and regions to climate change at different levels of and timing for global peak temperature. A particular focus is placed on quantifying the benefits (or trade-offs) of climate policies on biodiversity, food, poverty, water, air quality, health, and employment, particularly for vulnerable populations. More

 

ngfs © NGFS

Network for Greening the Financial System (NGFS) Scenario Explorer hosted by IIASA

The Network for Greening the Financial System (NGFS) is a group of 65 central banks and supervisors and 12 observers committed to sharing best practices, contributing to the development of climate– and environment–related risk management in the financial sector and mobilizing mainstream finance to support the transition toward a sustainable economy.​ More

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IAMC 1.5°C Scenario Explorer hosted by IIASA

IAMC 1.5°C Scenario Explorer hosted by IIASA

This Scenario Explorer presents an ensemble of quantitative, model-based climate change mitigation pathways underpinning the Special Report on Global Warming of 1.5°C (SR15) by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) published in 2018. The ensemble was also used and extended in the IPCC's Special Report on Climate Change and Land (SRCCL, 2019). Scenario Explorer More

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CD-LINKS Scenario Explorer

The CD-LINKS consortium has developed a set of consistent national and global low-carbon development pathways that take current national policies and the Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs) as an entry point for short-term climate action and then transition to long-term goals of 1.5 and 2°C as defined by the Paris Agreement.  More

Final Energy Demand by Sectors © IIASA ECE

Low Energy Demand study: LED

An exploratory research and resulting scenario about how far transformative changes on the energy end-use side can lead to. More

ar5db © IPCC

IPCC AR5 Scenarios Database

The IPCC AR5 Scenarios Database documents the long-term scenarios as reviewed in the Fifth Assessment Report (AR5) of Working Group III of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). More

Scenarios © IIASA

SSP Scenario Database

The Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs) will be used alongside the Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs) to analyze the feedbacks between climate change and socioeconomic factors, such as world population growth, economic development and technological progress. IIASA began work in 2011 on quantifying one of the five SSPs. The Energy Program has spearheaded the cross-program collaboration with the Population and Ecosystem Services Management programs. More

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LIMITS Scenario Database

The LIMITS Scenario database, operated by IIASA for the LIMITS consortium, hosts the results of the LIMITS modeling comparison exercise. The LIMITS project aims at advancing the understanding of the implementation of climate policies consistent with 2 degree Celsius. The main objective of the project is to provide an assessment of the emissions reductions strategies at the level of the world and the major global economies. More

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AMPERE Scenario database

The AMPERE database, operated by IIASA for the AMPERE consortium, hosts the model results for work packages 2, 3, and 5, as well as the results from the model diagnostics project. AMPERE scenario data were used in a series of research papers, which were published in a special issue of Technological Forecasting and Social Change as well as other journals. In addition, the results were used in the 5th Assessment Report of Working Group III of the IPCC. More

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Representative Concentration Pathways Database

A database with scenarios from the integrated assessment community to expedite climate change assessments More

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Global Energy Assessment Scenario Database

The Global Energy Assessment (GEA) Scenario database documents results and assumptions of the GEA energy transformation pathways that underpin the GEA. The database serves as a central data repository for the dissemination of GEA scenario information. More

GGI-SD © 2011 iStockphoto LP

Greenhouse Gas Initiative Scenario Database

A database of greenhouse gas emission mitigation scenarios More