The 2007 Update of the Probabilistic World Population Projections

In 2007, new probabilistic world population projections for 10 indicators for individual years from 2008 to 2100 for 13 world regions, as well as for the world as a whole, were published by IIASA.

An article based on the 2007 Probabilistic World Population Projections was  published in Nature  under the title “The coming acceleration of global population ageing”.

A four-page article was also published in IIASA's 2007 Conference edition of Options magazine, "The growing divergence in population trends and concerns."

The detailed results for ten indicators for individual years from 2008 to 2100 for 13 world regions as well as for the world as a whole is given in the following ten Excel files:

Total Population
Mean Age
Proportion Below Age 20
Proportion 20-60
Proportion Above Age 60
Proportion Above Age 80
Old Age Dependency Ratio (60+ / 20-60)
Life Expectancy Females
Life Expectancy Males
Total Fertility Rate (TFR)


We recommend the following citation for users of these data:  

Wolfgang Lutz, Warren Sanderson and Sergei Scherbov, IIASA’s 2007 Probabilistic World Population Projections, IIASA World Population Program Online Data Base of Results 2008 

 


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Last edited: 16 April 2019

CONTACT DETAILS

Sergei Scherbov

Distinguished Emeritus Research Scholar Social Cohesion, Health, and Wellbeing Research Group - Population and Just Societies Program

International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA)
Schlossplatz 1, A-2361 Laxenburg, Austria
Phone: (+43 2236) 807 0 Fax:(+43 2236) 71 313