Junko Mochizuki

Junko Mochizuki joined IIASA's Risk and Resilience (RISK) program as a research scholar in August 2013.

Dr. Mochizuki's current assignment at IIASA focuses on advancing the macroeconomic and fiscal modeling of natural disaster risk for both developed and developing countries. This entails exploring the empirical linkages between fiscal risk management, economic growth and changes in climate extreme risks and other socioeconomic variables over-time. Her particular interest lies in the interface between policy and scientific knowledge - investigating barriers and enablers for risk reduction actions at the fiscal and macroeconomic planning levels. In addition to conducting integrated risk assessments, she has also led a number of capacity building workshops for developing country policy-stakeholders, focusing on macroeconomic risk management and probabilistic cost-benefit analysis of disaster risk reduction investment.

Prior to joining IIASA, she was a PhD degree fellow at the East-West Center/University of Hawaii in USA, where she received her doctoral degree in Natural Resources and Environmental Management (NREM) and graduate certificate in Disaster Management and Humanitarian Assistance (DMHA). She completed an MSc degree in Global Agricultural Sciences at the University of Tokyo in 2006, and graduated magna cum laude from the University of California Irvine with a BA in political science in 2001.

Last update: 29 APR 2016

Tramberend, S. , Burtscher, R. , Burek, P. , Kahil, T. , Fischer, G., Mochizuki, J. , Greve, P., Kimwaga, R., et al. (2021). Co-development of East African regional water scenarios for 2050. One Earth 4 (3), 434-447. 10.1016/j.oneear.2021.02.012.

Mochizuki, J. , Magnuszewski, P., Pajak, M., Krolikowska, K., Jarzabek, L., & Kulakowska, M. (2021). Simulation games as a catalyst for social learning: The case of the water-food-energy nexus game. Global Environmental Change 66, e102204. 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2020.102204.

Schinko, T. , Drouet, L., Vrontisi, Z., Hof, A.F., Hinkel, J., Mochizuki, J. , Bosetti, V., Fragkiadakis, K., et al. (2020). Economy-wide effects of coastal flooding due to sea level rise: A multi-model simultaneous treatment of mitigation, adaptation, and residual impacts. Environmental Research Communications 2 (1), e015002. 10.1088/2515-7620/ab6368.

Hochrainer-Stigler, S., Mochizuki, J. , Williges, K., & Mechler, R. (2020). Fiscal Resilience and Building Back Better: A Global Analysis for Disaster Risk Reduction Strategies. In: Disaster Risk Reduction and Resilience. pp. 213-230 Cham, Switzerland: Springer. ISBN 978-981-15-4319-710.1007/978-981-15-4320-3.

Wada, Y. , Vinca, A. , Parkinson, S. , Willaarts, B. , Magnuszewski, P., Mochizuki, J. , Mayor, B., Wang, Y., et al. (2019). Co-designing Indus Water-Energy-Land Futures. One Earth 10.1016/j.oneear.2019.10.006.

Tramberend, S. , Burtscher, R. , Burek, P. , Kahil, T. , Fischer, G., Mochizuki, J. , Wada, Y. , Kimwaga, R., et al. (2019). East Africa Future Water Scenarios to 2050. IIASA

Mochizuki, J. & Naqvi, A. (2019). Reflecting Disaster Risk in Development Indicators. Sustainability 11 (4), e996. 10.3390/su11040996.

Mochizuki, J. , Schinko, T. , & Hochrainer-Stigler, S. (2018). Mainstreaming of climate extreme risk into fiscal and budgetary planning: application of stochastic debt and disaster fund analysis in Austria. Regional Environmental Change 18 (7), 2161-2172. 10.1007/s10113-018-1300-3.

Solinska-Nowak, A., Magnuszewski, P., Curl, M., French, A., Keating, A., Mochizuki, J. , Liu, W. , Mechler, R. , et al. (2018). An overview of serious games for disaster risk management – Prospects and limitations for informing actions to arrest increasing risk. International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction 31, 1013-1029. 10.1016/j.ijdrr.2018.09.001.

Greve, P., Kahil, T. , Mochizuki, J. , Schinko, T. , Satoh, Y., Burek, P. , Fischer, G., Tramberend, S. , et al. (2018). Global assessment of water challenges under uncertainty in water scarcity projections. Nature Sustainability 1, 486-494. 10.1038/s41893-018-0134-9.

Hochrainer-Stigler, S., Linnerooth-Bayer, J., & Mochizuki, J. (2018). Flood Proofing Low-Income Houses in India: an Application of Climate-Sensitive Probabilistic Benefit-Cost Analysis. Economics of Disasters and Climate Change 3 (1), 23-38. 10.1007/s41885-018-0032-7.

Mochizuki, J. , Magnuszewski, P., & Linnerooth-Bayer, J. (2018). Games for Aiding Stakeholder Deliberation on Nexus Policy Issues. In: Managing Water, Soil and Waste Resources to Achieve Sustainable Development Goals. Eds. Hulsmann, S. & Ardakanian, R., pp. 93-124 Cham, Switzerland: Springer. ISBN 978-3-319-75163-410.1007/978-3-319-75163-4_5.

Mochizuki, J. , Schinko, T. , Magnuszewski, P., Pajak, M., Bednar-Friedl, B., & Irshaid, J. (2018). Addressing energy transition gaps in climate and energy model regions of Austria through policy co-design. In: 19. Österreichischer Klimatag, 23 –25 April 2018, Salzburg, Austria.

Schinko, T. , Mochizuki, J. , & Hochrainer-Stigler, S. (2018). Mainstreaming of Climate Extreme Risk into Fiscal and Budgetary Planning. In: 19. Österreichischer Klimatag, 23 –25 April 2018, Salzburg, Austria.

Mochizuki, J. , Keating, A., Liu, W. , Hochrainer-Stigler, S., & Mechler, R. (2018). An overdue alignment of risk and resilience? A conceptual contribution to community resilience. Disasters 42 (2), 361-391. 10.1111/disa.12239.

Hochrainer-Stigler, S., Desai, B., Keith, W., Maskrey, A., Mechler, R. , & Mochizuki, J. (2017). Risk-sensitizing Future Investment Needed to Achieve the Sustainable Development Goals. International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction 24, 482-484. 10.1016/j.ijdrr.2016.12.005.

Greve, P., Kahil, T. , Mochizuki, J. , Florke, M., Eisner, S., Hanasaki, N., & Wada, Y. (2017). Global assessment of water policy challenges under uncertainty in water scarcity projections. In: ILEAPS Science conference, 11-14 September 2017, Oxford, UK.

Greve, P., Kahil, T. , Schinko, T. , Mochizuki, J. , Satoh, Y., Burek, P. , Burtscher, R. , Langan, S. , et al. (2017). Global assessment of water policy vulnerability under uncertainty in water scarcity projections. In: European Geosciences Union (EGU) General Assembly 2017, 23–28 April 2017, Vienna, Austria.

Mochizuki, J. & Chang, S. (2017). Disasters as Opportunity for Change: Tsunami Recovery and Energy Transition in Japan. International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction 21, 331-339. 10.1016/j.ijdrr.2017.01.009.

Hochrainer-Stigler, S., Mochizuki, J. , Williges, K., & Mechler, R. (2017). Risk sensitizing future investment against disaster. In: IIASA Institutional Evaluation 2017, 27 February-1 March 2017, IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria.

Magnuszewski, P., Mochizuki, J. , Keating, A., French, A., Liu, W. , Mechler, R. , & Linnerooth-Bayer, J. (2017). Smart gaming for informing policy. In: IIASA Institutional Evaluation 2017, 27 February-1 March 2017, IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria.

Mochizuki, J. & Komendantova, N. (2017). In Search of Perfect Foresight? Policy Bias, Management of Unknowns, and What Has Changed in Science Policy Since the Tohoku Disaster. Risk Analysis 37 (2), 219-230. 10.1111/risa.12602.

Keating, A., Campbell, K., Mechler, R. , Magnuszewski, P., Mochizuki, J. , Liu, W. , Szoenyi, M., & McQuistan, C. (2016). Disaster resilience: What it is and how it can engender a meaningful change in development policy. Development Policy Review 35 (1), 65-91. 10.1111/dpr.12201.

Nilsson, E., Hochrainer-Stigler, S., Mochizuki, J. , & Uvo, C.V. (2016). Hydro-climatic variability and agricultural production on the shores of Lake Chad. Environmental Development 20, 15-30. 10.1016/j.envdev.2016.09.001.

Hochrainer-Stigler, S., Mochizuki, J. , & Pflug, G. (2016). Impacts of Global and Climate Change Uncertainties for Disaster Risk Projections: A Case Study on Rainfall-Induced Flood Risk in Bangladesh. Journal of Extreme Events 3 (1), art.no.1650004. 10.1142/S2345737616500044.

Mochizuki, J. (2016). Review of Serious Gaming Applications in Humanitarian Operations and Disaster Risk Management: State-of-the-Art and Future Directions for Research. In: IDRiM 2016 7th International Conference on Integrated Disaster Risk Management Disasters and Development: Towards a Risk Aware Society, October 1-3, 2016, Isfahan, Islamic Republic of Iran.

McCallum, I., Liu, W. , See, L. , Mechler, R. , Keating, A., Hochrainer-Stigler, S., Mochizuki, J. , Fritz, S., et al. (2016). Technologies to Support Community Flood Disaster Risk Reduction. International Journal of Disaster Risk Science 7 (2), 198-204. 10.1007/s13753-016-0086-5.

Mochizuki, J. , Keating, A., Mechler, R. , Egan, C., & Hochrainer-Stigler, S. (2016). If Numbers Can Speak, Who Listens? Creating Engagement and Learning for Effective Uptake of DRR Investment in Developing Countries. PLOS Currents Disasters 8 10.1371/currents.dis.ab5922892b54a68f7315e967f6dd3406.

Mechler, R. , Mochizuki, J. , & Hochrainer-Stigler, S. (2016). Disaster risk management and fiscal policy : narratives, tools, and evidence associated with assessing fiscal risk and building resilience. Policy Research Working Paper; WPS no.7635, World Bank Group

Mochizuki, J. , Mechler, R. , Hochrainer-Stigler, S., & Schinko, T. (2016). Pan-European Assessment of Fiscal Consequence of Climate Extremes. ECONADAPT Deliverable 5.2.

Komendantova, N. & Mochizuki, J. (2016). Impacts of risks perceptions on decision-making on mitigation of losses from natural hazards: case studies of the 1995 Kobe, the 2004 Sumatra-Andaman and the 2011 Tohoku earthquakes. IDRiM 6 (1), 30-46. 10.5595/idrim2016.0129.

Mechler, R. , Mochizuki, J. , & Hochrainer-Stigler, S. (2016). Disaster Risk Management and Fiscal Policy: Entry Points for Finance Ministries. In: Realising the 'Triple Dividend of Resilience'. Eds. Surminski, Swenja & Tanner, Thomas, pp. 73-104 Switzerland: Springer Verlag. ISBN 978-3-319-40693-0

See, L. , McCallum, I., Liu, W. , Keating, A., Hochrainer-Stigler, S., Mochizuki, J. , Fritz, S., Dugar, S., et al. (2016). The potential of crowdsourcing and mobile technology to support flood disaster risk reduction. In: European Geosciences Union (EGU) General Assembly 2016, 17–22 April 2016, Vienna, Austria.

Mochizuki, J. , Vitoontus, S., Wickramarachchi, B., Hochrainer-Stigler, S., Williges, K., Mechler, R. , & Sovann, R. (2015). Operationalizing iterative risk management under limited information: fiscal and economic risks due to natural disasters in Cambodia. International Journal of Disaster Risk Science 6 (4), 321-334. 10.1007/s13753-015-0069-y.

Keating, A., Mechler, R. , Magnuszewski, P., Liu, W. , & Mochizuki, J. (2015). System Analysis in International Development: From Concept to Application in Flood Prone Communities. In: Systems Analysis 2015 - A Conference in Celebration of Howard Raiffa, 11 -13 November, 2015, Laxenburg, Austria.

Hochrainer-Stigler, S., Mechler, R. , & Mochizuki, J. (2015). A risk management tool for tackling country-wide contingent disasters: A case study on Madagascar. Environmental Modelling & Software 72, 44-55. 10.1016/j.envsoft.2015.06.004.

Komendantova, N. & Mochizuki, J. (2015). Impacts of risk perceptions on decision-making: case studies of the 1995 Kobe, the 2004 Sumatra-Andaman and the 2011 Tohoku earthquakes. TIFAC-IDRiM Abstracts Booklet, Disaster Risk Reduction: Challenges and Opportunities for Sustaiable Growth, New Delhi, India p.86

Beckman, M., Mochizuki, J. , & Naruchaikusol, S. (2015). Changing land use, disaster risk and adaptive responses in upland communities in Thailand. International Journal for Integrated Disaster Risk Management (IDRiM) 5 (1), 1-20. 10.5595/idrim.2015.0083.

Mochizuki, J. , Coffman, M., & Yanagida, J.F. (2015). Market, welfare and land-use implications of lignocellulosic bioethanol in Hawai'i. Renewable Energy 76, 102-114. 10.1016/j.renene.2014.10.071.

Williges, K., Hochrainer-Stigler, S., Mochizuki, J. , & Mechler, R. (2015). Modeling the indirect and fiscal risks from natural disasters for informing options for enhancing resilience and building back better. UNISDR

Hendriksen, G., Ishikagi, K., Moriniere, L., Egan, C., Mochizuki, J. , Hochrainer-Stigler, S., Mechler, R. , & Williges, K. (2015). Public investment planning and financing strategy for disaster risk reduction: review of Zanzibar. UNISDR Working Papers; UNISDR, Geneva Switzerland, 117 pp.

Ishikagi, K., Mochizuki, J. , Hochrainer-Stigler, S., Mechler, R. , Williges, K., & Egan, C. (2015). Review of South-West Indian Ocean Region. UNISDR Working Papers on Public Investment Planning and Disaster Risk Reduction, UNISDR, Geneva, Switzerland

Ishikagi, K., Moriniere, L., Fatouma, A., Soilihi, S., Kadafi, S., Egan, C., Mochizuki, J. , Hochrainer-Stigler, S., et al. (2015). Public investment planning and financing strategy for disaster risk reduction: review of Union des Comores. UNISDR Working Papers; UNISDR, Geneva, Switzerland 93 pp.

Lazamanana, A.P., Ishikagi, K., Moriniere, L., Egan, C., Mochizuki, J. , Hochrainer-Stigler, S., Mechler, R. , & Williges, K. (2015). Public investment planning and financing strategy for disaster risk reduction: review of Madagascar. [[UNISDR Working Papers]]; UNISDR, Geneva Switzerland 106 pp. (2015)

Leste-De Perindorge, P., Ishikagi, K., Moriniere, L., Egan, C., Mochizuki, J. , Hochrainer-Stigler, S., Mechler, R. , & Williges, K. (2015). Public investment planning and financing strategy for disaster risk reduction: review of Mauritius. [[UNISDR Working Papers]]; UNISDR, Geneva Switzerland 121 pp. (2015)

Zarine, W.D., Ishikagi, K., Moriniere, L., Egan, C., Mochizuki, J. , Hochrainer-Stigler, S., Mechler, R. , & Williges, K. (2015). Public investment planning and financing strategy for disaster risk reduction: review of Seychelles. [[UNISDR Working Papers]]; UNISDR, Geneva Switzerland 109 pp. (2015)

Mochizuki, J. , Toyasaki, F., & Falagara Sigala, I. (2015). Toward resilient humanitarian cooperation: examining the performance of horizontal cooperation among humanitarian organizations using an agent-based modeling (ABM) approach. Journal of Natural Disaster Science 36 (2), 35-52.

Mochizuki, J. (2014). Decision-making, policy choices and community rebuilding after the Tohoku disaster. International Journal for Integrated Disaster Risk Management (IDRiM) 4 (2), 11-26. 10.5595/idrim.2014.0085.

Ishigaki, K. & Mochizuki, J. (2014). Post-2015 Framework for Disaster Risk Reduction: A proposal for monitoring progress. Planet@Risk 2 (5), 304-307.

Mochizuki, J. , Yanagida, J.F., Kumar, D., Takara, D., & Murthy, G.S. (2014). Life cycle assessment of ethanol production from tropical banagrass (Pennisetum purpureum) using green and dry processing technologies in Hawaii. Journal of Renewable and Sustainable Energy 6 (4) 10.1063/1.4893673.

Keating, A., Mechler, R. , Mochizuki, J. , Kunreuther, H., Bayer, J., Hanger, S., McCallum, I., See, L. , et al. (2014). Operationalizing Resilience Against Natural Disaster Risk: Opportunities, Barriers, and a Way Forward. Zurich Flood Resilience Alliance

Koehler, M., Mechler, R. , Botzen, W., Surminski, S., Velazquez, M.P., Leblois, A., Keating, A., Mochizuki, J. , et al. (2014). Review of Economic Instruments in Risk Reduction. Deliverable 5.1, Working Paper, ENHANCE Project, IVM, Netherlands (30 April 2014)

Mochizuki, J. , Mechler, R. , Hochrainer-Stigler, S., Keating, A., & Williges, K. (2014). Revisiting the "disaster and development" debate - Toward a broader understanding of macroeconomic risk and resilience. Climate Risk Management 3, 39-54. 10.1016/j.crm.2014.05.002.

Mochizuki, J. , Yanagida, J.F., & Coffman, M. (2013). Market, Welfare and Land-use Implications of Lignocellulosic Bioethanol in Hawaii. Working Paper No. 2013-10, UHERO - The Economic Research Organization at the University of Hawaii (November 2013)