Matthias Jonas

Matthias Jonas is a Senior Research Scholar in the Advanced Systems Analysis (ASA) Program, where he contributes to addressing challenges of systems analytical nature which are of high practical relevance to IIASA’s applied research programs. Before joining the ASA Program, Dr. Jonas was with IIASA’s Ecosystems Services & Management (ESM) Program, where he was responsible for constraining and handling uncertainties of GHG fluxes focusing on the bottom-up/top-down accounting of GHG emissions from both technosphere and terrestrial biosphere across spatial scales from national to global, the systems and uncertainty analysis involved in carrying out this research, and the collaboration with scholars and experts both in loco and internationally. Over the years, this research widened to span various research tracks and disciplines encompassing earth/climate systems analysis, observation, monitoring and modeling, the global carbon cycle, and non-CO2 GHGs including ozone precursors, the allocation of emission burdens and targets in an emissions-constrained world, accounting of emissions under and compliance with international climate agreements, and the monitoring and advanced analysis of uncertainty and risk in the emissions for robust decision-making in the context of mitigation and adaptation, emission trading etc.

Dr. Jonas received his PhD in geophysics in 1988 and first joined IIASA's Environment Program in November 1989 from the Technical University of Clausthal, Germany. He assisted in setting up and conducting IIASA's Climate Change Study, which aimed at the integrated modeling of climate change impacts. Between 1992 and 1994, he led the Climate Change Study as Deputy Project Leader under the Forestry and Climate Change Project. The climate related work of the project involved the construction of a hierarchical set of climate models to examine the feedback between climate and biosphere with emphasis on regional forest ensembles. The climate pattern scaling techniques developed at that time by him and his colleagues were pioneering.

Since 1994, Dr. Jonas has been providing consultancy support to the Austrian Government and other institutions in their efforts to comply with Austria's commitments under the Kyoto Protocol to the UN Framework Convention on Climate Change. Dr. Jonas is the lead author of Austria's First and Second National Communication (Austria's National Climate Reports).

Between 1995 and 1997, Dr. Jonas was with the Austrian Research Centers at Seibersdorf, Austria's largest non-university research institution, where he was responsible for setting up the integrated Austrian Carbon Balance Project (Phase I). This work led Dr. Jonas back to IIASA’s Forestry (FOR) Project in 1998, contributing to the Full Carbon Account for Russia study that realized the first full carbon accounting for a country. In addition he was responsible for the Austrian Carbon Database (ACDb) study, being the first country-scale full carbon accounting that pays equal attention to the assessment of uncertainties from the very beginning, and driving IIASA’s research to address the detection of uncertain greenhouse emission signals under the Kyoto Protocol.

Dr. Jonas' scientific interests are interdisciplinary and focus on global change policy problems in which the analysis of physical as well as natural-socioeconomic systems, environmental targets, and verification and compliance issues play a central role (earth systems modeling, carbon cycle, and non-CO2 greenhouse gases). Dr. Jonas has authored and coauthored three books and numerous publications and acts as a scientific expert reviewer for various interdisciplinary scientific journals, including the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change.

Last update: 02-OCT-2013

Jonas M , Bun R, Nahorski Z, Marland G, Gusti M, & Danylo O (2019). Quantifying greenhouse gas emissions. Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change 24 (6): 839-852. DOI:10.1007/s11027-019-09867-4.

Oda T, Bun R, Kinakh V, Topylko P, Halushchak M, Marland G, Lauvaux T, Jonas M , et al. (2019). Errors and uncertainties in a gridded carbon dioxide emissions inventory. Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change 24: 1007-1050. DOI:10.1007/s11027-019-09877-2.

Charkovska N, Halushchak M, Bun R, Nahorski Z, Oda T, Jonas M , & Topylko P (2019). A high-definition spatially explicit modelling approach for national greenhouse gas emissions from industrial processes: reducing the errors and uncertainties in global emission modelling. Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change 24: 907-939. DOI:10.1007/s11027-018-9836-6.

Jonas M , Zebrowski P , & Jarnicka J (2018). The crux of reducing emissions in the long-term: The underestimated “now” versus the overestimated “then”. In: 19. Österreichischer Klimatag, 23 –25 April 2018, Salzburg, Austria.

Jonas M , Zebrowski P , & Jarnicka J (2018). Towards Handling Uncertainty in Prognostic Scenarios: Advanced Learning from the Past. IIASA Report. Vienna, Austria: Austrian Academy of Sciences

Charkovska N, Horabik-Pyzel J, Bun R, Danylo O, Nahorski Z, Jonas M , & Xiangyang X (2018). High resolution spatial distribution and associated uncertainties of greenhouse gas emissions from the agricultural sector. Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change 23: 1-25. DOI:10.1007/s11027-017-9779-3.

Jonas M & Żebrowski P (2018). The crux with reducing emissions in the long-term: The underestimated “now” versus the overestimated “then”. Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change: 1-22. DOI:10.1007/s11027-018-9825-9.

Jonas M & Zebrowski P (2017). Learning from the Past: Supplementary Exercise on Memory, Persistence and Explainable Outreach. IIASA Working Paper. IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria: WP-17-016

Zebrowski P , Jonas M , & Jarnicka J (2017). Towards Handling Uncertainty in Prognostic Scenarios: Advanced Learning from the Past. IIASA Working Paper. IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria: WP-17-015

Jonas M & Zebrowski P (2017). ASA Outreach: Workshop Series on Uncertainty in Greenhouse Gas Emissions. In: IIASA Institutional Evaluation 2017, 27 February-1 March 2017, IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria.

Zebrowski P & Jonas M (2017). ClimTrans2050-A Research Plan for Open Source Model for Analyzing Austria's Transition to a Low-Carbon Economy by 2050. In: IIASA Institutional Evaluation 2017, 27 February-1 March 2017, IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria.

Zebrowski P & Jonas M (2017). Toward handling uncertainty in prognostic scenarios: Advanced learning from the past. In: IIASA Institutional Evaluation 2017, 27 February-1 March 2017, IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria.

Jonas M & Żebrowski P (2016). Uncertainty in an Emissions Constrained World: Method Overview and Data Revision. IIASA Working Paper. IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria: WP-16-009

Smith P, Davis SJ, Creutzig F, Fuss S, Rogelj J , McCollum D, Krey V , Grubler A , et al. (2016). Biophysical and economic limits to negative CO2 emissions. Nature Climate Change 6 (1): 42-50. DOI:10.1038/nclimate2870.

Haluschak M, Jonas M , Zebrowski P , Jarnicka J, Bun R, & Nahorski Z (2016). Taking advantage of the UNFCCC Kyoto Policy Process: What can we learn about learning? In: Public Scientific Conference of Institute of Applied Mathematics and Fundamental Science. pp. 112-113 Lviv, Ukraine: Lviv Polytechnic National University. ISBN 978-617-607-398-7

Jones CD, Ciais P, Davis SJ, Friedlingstein P, Gasser T, Peters GP, Rogelj J , van Vuuren DP, et al. (2016). Simulating the Earth system response to negative emissions. Environmental Research Letters 11 (9): e095012. DOI:10.1088/1748-9326/11/9/095012.

Charkovska N, Halushchak M, Bun R, & Jonas M (2015). Uncertainty analysis of GHG spatial inventory from the industrial activity. A case study for Poland. In: Proceedings, 4th International Workshop on Uncertainty in Atmospheric Emissions, 7-9 October 2015, Krakow, Poland. pp. 57-63 Warsaw, Poland: Systems Research Institute, Polish Academy of Sciences. ISBN 83-894-7557-X

Charkovska NR, Bun R, Danylo O, Horabik-Pyzel J, & Jonas M (2015). Spatial GHG inventory in the agriculture sector and uncertainty analysis: A case study for Poland. In: Proceedings, 4th International Workshop on Uncertainty in Atmospheric Emissions, 7-9 October 2015, Krakow, Poland. pp. 16-24 Warsaw, Poland: Systems Research Institute, Polish Academy of Sciences. ISBN 83-894-7557-X

Halushchak M, Bun R, Jonas M , & Topylko P (2015). Spatial inventory of GHG emissions from fossil fuels extraction and processing: An uncertainty analysis. In: Proceedings, 4th International Workshop on Uncertainty in Atmospheric Emissions, 7-9 October 2015, Krakow, Poland. pp. 64-70 Warsaw, Poland: Systems Research Institute, Polish Academy of Sciences. ISBN 83-894-7557-X

Jonas M , Żebrowski P , & Rovenskaya E (2015). A metric for the prognostic outreach of scenarios: Learning from the past to establish a standard in applied systems analysis. In: Proceedings, 4th International Workshop on Uncertainty in Atmospheric Emissions, 7-9 October 2015, Krakow, Poland. pp. 78-89 Warsaw, Poland: Systems Research Institute, Polish Academy of Sciences. ISBN 83-894-7557-X

Żebrowski P , Jonas M , & Rovenskaya E (2015). Assessing the improvement of greenhouse gases inventories: Can we capture diagnostic learning? In: Proceedings, 4th International Workshop on Uncertainty in Atmospheric Emissions, 7-9 October 2015, Krakow, Poland. pp. 90-96 Warsaw, Poland: Systems Research Institute, Polish Academy of Sciences. ISBN 83-894-7557-X

Ermoliev Y, Ermolieva T, Jonas M , Obersteiner M , Wagner F , & Winiwarter W (2015). Integrated model for robust emission trading under uncertainties: cost-effectiveness and environmental safety. Technological Forecasting and Social Change 98: 234-244. DOI:10.1016/j.techfore.2015.01.003.

Shanafelt DW, Dieckmann U , Jonas M , Franklin O , Loreau M, & Perrings C (2015). Biodiversity, productivity, and the spatial insurance hypothesis revisited. Journal of Theoretical Biology 380: 426-435. DOI:10.1016/j.jtbi.2015.06.017.

Ermolieva T, Ermoliev Y, Jonas M , Obersteiner M , Wagner F , & Winiwarter W (2015). Uncertainty, cost-effectiveness and environmental safety of robust carbon trading: integrated approach. In: Uncertainties in Greenhouse Gas Inventories. Expanding Our Perspectives. Eds. Ometto, J.P., Bun, R., Jonas, M. & Nahorski, Z., pp. 183-196 Cham, Switzerland: Springer International. ISBN 98-3-319-15900-310.1007/978-3-319-15901-0_13.

Hryniewicz O, Nahorski Z, Verstraete J, Horabik J, & Jonas M (2015). Compliance for uncertain inventories via probabilistic/fuzzy comparison of alternatives. In: Uncertainties in Greenhouse Gas Inventores. Expanding Our Perspectives. Eds. Ometto, J.P., Bun, R., Jonas, M. & Nahorski, Z., pp. 69-84 Cham, Switzerland: Springer International. ISBN 978-3-319-15900-510.1007/978-3-319-15901-0_5.

Jonas M , Marland G, Krey V , Wagner F , & Nahorski Z (2015). Uncertainty in an emissions-constrained world. In: Uncertainties in Greenhouse Gas Invertories. Expanding Our Perspectives. Eds. Ometto, J.P., Bun, R., Jonas, M. & Nahorski, Z., pp. 9-26 Cham, Switzerland: Springer International. ISBN 978-3-319-15900-310.1007/978-3-319-15901-0_2.

Lesiv M, Bun A, & Jonas M (2015). Analysis of change in relative uncertainty in GHG emissions from stationary sources for the EU 15. In: Uncertainties in Greenhouse Gas Inventories. Expanding Our Perspectives. Eds. Jonas,, J.P. Ometto, R. Bun, M. & Nahorski, Z., Cham: Springer International. ISBN 978-3-319-15900-310.1007/978-3-319-15901-0_4.

Ometto JP, Bun R, Jonas M , & Nahorski Z (2015). Uncertainties in Greenhouse Gas Inventories. Expanding Our Perspectives. Cham: Springer International Publishing AG. ISBN 978-3-319-15900-3 DOI:10.1007/978-3-319-15901-0.

Ometto JP, Bun R, Jonas M , Nahorski Z, & Gusti M (2015). Uncertainties in greenhouse gases inventories - expanding our perspective. In: Uncertainties in Greenhouse Gas Inventories. Expanding Our Perspectives. Eds. Jonass,, J.P. Ometto, R. Bun, M. & Nahorski, Z., Cham: Springer International. ISBN 978-3-319-15900-310.1007/978-3-319-15901-0_1.

Halushchak M, Bun R, & Jonas M (2015). Mathematical modeling and uncertainty analysis of greenhouse gas emissions during extraction and refining oil in Poland. Herald of Lviv State University of Life Safety 23: 59-66.

Jonas M , Ometto JP, Bun R, & Nahorski Z (2015). Preface - Uncertainties in Greenhouse Gas Inventories. Expending Our Perspectives. In: Uncertainties in Greenhouse Gas Inventories. Expnding Our Perspectives. Eds. Ometto, J.P., Bun, R., Jonas, M. & Nahorski, Z., pp. i-xv Cham, Switzerland: Springer International. ISBN 978-3-319-15900-310.1007/978-3-319-15901-0.

Jonas M , Ometto JP, Batistella M, Franklin O , Hall M, Lapola DM, Moran EF, Tramberend S , et al. (2014). Sustaining ecosystem services: Overcoming the dilemma posed by local actions and planetary boundaries. Earth's Future 2 (8): 407-420. DOI:10.1002/2013EF000224.

Ermolieva T, Ermoliev Y, Jonas M , Obersteiner M , Wagner F , & Winiwarter W (2014). Uncertainty, cost-effectiveness and environmental safety of robust carbon trading: Integrated approach. Climatic Change 124 (3): 633-646. DOI:10.1007/s10584-013-0824-2.

Hryniewicz O, Nahorski Z, Verstraete J, Horabik J, & Jonas M (2014). Compliance for uncertain inventories via probabilistic/fuzzy comparison of alternatives. Climatic Change 124 (3): 519-534. DOI:10.1007/s10584-013-1031-x.

Lesiv M, Bun A, & Jonas M (2014). Analysis of change in relative uncertainty in GHG emissions from stationary sources for the EU 15. Climatic Change 124 (3): 505-518. DOI:10.1007/s10584-014-1075-6.

Ometto JP, Bun R, Jonas M , Nahorski Z, & Gusti M (2014). Uncertainties in greenhouse gases inventories - Expanding our perspective. Climatic Change 124 (3): 451-458. DOI:10.1007/s10584-014-1149-5.

Jonas M , Marland G, Krey V , Wagner F , & Nahorski Z (2014). Uncertainty in an emissions-constrained world. Climatic Change 124 (3): 459-476. DOI:10.1007/s10584-014-1103-6.

Ermolieva T, Ermoliev Y, Jonas M , Obersteiner M , Wagner F , & Winiwarter W (2013). Uncertainty, Cost-effectiveness and Environmental Safety of Robust Carbon Trading: Integrated Approach. IIASA Interim Report. IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria: IR-13-003

Salk CF, Jonas M , & Marland G (2013). Strict accounting with flexible implementation: The first order of business in the next climate treaty (Commentary). Carbon Management 4 (3): 253-256. DOI:10.4155/cmt.13.15.

Jonas M , Marland E, & Marland G (2012). The Role of Uncertainty in CO2 Emissions Inventories. Poster presentation, IIASA 40th Anniversary Conference, 24-26 October 2012, Laxenburg and Vienna, Austria

Jonas M & Ometto JP (2012). Land Use / Land-Use Change in an Emissions Constrained World: The Need of a New Approach. Poster presentation, IIASA 40th Anniversary Conference, 24-26 October 2012, Laxenburg and Vienna, Austria

Kryazhimskiy AV & Jonas M (2012). Why Prognostic Systems Analysis Has To Change - Learning from the Past Tells How. Poster presentation, IIASA 40th Anniversary Conference, 24-26 October 2012, Laxenburg and Vienna, Austria

Jonas M (2012). Uncertainty in an Emissions Constrained World: Case Austria. Publishable Final Report, submitted to Austrian Climate Research Programme (ACRP 2010; Project B068706), Vienna, Austria, 23pp

Ermolieva T, Ermoliev Y, Jonas M , Makowski M , Obersteiner M , Wagner F , & Winiwarter W (2012). Cost-effective and environmentally safe GHG emissions trading and abatement under uncertainties. In: Worlds Within Reach: From Science To Policy - IIASA 40th Anniversary Conference, 24-26 October 2012, Hofburg Congress Center, Vienna and IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria.

Jonas M & Ometto JP (2012). Land Use / Land-Use Change in an Emissions Constrained World: The Need of a New Approach. In: Worlds Within Reach: From Science To Policy - IIASA 40th Anniversary Conference, 24-26 October 2012, Hofburg Congress Center, Vienna and IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria.

Kryazhimskiy A & Jonas M (2012). Why Prognostic Systems Analysis Has To Change - Learning from the Past Tells How. In: Worlds Within Reach: From Science To Policy - IIASA 40th Anniversary Conference, 24-26 October 2012, Hofburg Congress Center, Vienna and IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria.

Marland G, Marland E, & Jonas M (2012). The Role of Uncertainty in CO2 Emissions Inventories. In: Worlds Within Reach: From Science To Policy - IIASA 40th Anniversary Conference, 24-26 October 2012, Hofburg Congress Center, Vienna and IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria.

Jonas M , Krey V , Rafaj P , Bachner G, Steininger K, Marland G, & Nahorski Z (2011). Uncertainty in an emissions constrained world: Case Austria. Presented at "Climate, Climate Change, Impacts and Adaptation in Austria" (12th Austrian Climate Colloquium), 21-22 September 2011, Vienna, Austria

Bun A, Hamal K, Jonas M , & Lesiv M (2011). Verification of compliance with GHG emission targets: Annex B countries. In: Greenhouse Gas Inventories: Dealing with Uncertainty. Eds. White, T, Jonas, M , Nahorski, Z & Nilsson, S, Dordrecht: Springer. 10.1007/978-94-007-1670-4_12.

Ermolieva T, Ermoliev Y, Fischer G, Jonas M , Makowski M , & Wagner F (2011). Carbon emission trading and carbon taxes under uncertainties. In: Greenhouse Gas Inventories: Dealing With Uncertainty. Eds. White, T, Jonas, M , Nahorski, Z & Nilsson, S, Dordrecht: Springer. 10.1007/978-94-007-1670-4_16.

Gusti M & Jonas M (2011). Terrestrial full carbon account for Russia: Revised uncertainty estimates and their role in a bottom-up/top-down accounting exercise. In: Greenhouse Gas Inventories: Dealing With Uncertainty. Eds. White, T, Jonas, M , Nahorski, Z & Nilsson, S, Dordrecht: Springer. 10.1007/978-94-007-1670-4_10.

Jonas M , Marland G, Winiwarter W , White T, Nahorski Z, Bun R, & Nilsson S (2011). Benefits of dealing with uncertainty in greenhouse gas inventories: Introduction. In: Greenhouse Gas Inventories: Dealing With Uncertainty. Eds. White, T, Jonas, M , Nahorski, Z & Nilsson, S, Dordrecht: Springer. 10.1007/978-94-007-1670-4_2.

Jonas M , Gusti M, Jeda W, Nahorski Z, & Nilsson S (2011). Comparison of preparatory signal analysis techniques for consideration in the (post-)Kyoto policy process. In: Greenhouse Gas Inventories: Dealing With Uncertainty. Eds. White, T, Jonas, M , Nahorski, Z & Nilsson, S, Dordrecht: Springer. 10.1007/978-94-007-1670-4_11.

Jonas M , Krey V , Wagner F , Marland G, & Nahorski Z (2011). Providing a framework for moving to a low C world. Presented at [[11th Global Carbon Project Scientific Steering Committee Meeting]], 28-29 May 2011, Shepherdstown, West Virginia, USA (May 2011)

Jonas M , Marland G, Winiwarter W , White T, Nahorski Z, Bun R, & Nilsson S (2011). Lessons to be learned from uncertainty treatment: Conclusions regarding greenhouse gas inventories. In: Greenhouse Gas Inventories: Dealing With Uncertainty. Eds. White, T, Jonas, M , Nahorski, Z & Nilsson, S, Dordrecht: Springer. 10.1007/978-94-007-1670-4_20.

White T, Jonas M , Nahorski Z, & Nilsson S (2011). Greenhouse Gas Inventories: Dealing With Uncertainty. Dordrecht: Springer. ISBN 978-94-007-1669-8

Bun A, Hamal K, & Jonas M (2011). Preparatory Signal Detection for the EU-27 Member States Under EU Burden Sharing - Advanced Monitoring Including Uncertainty (1990-2006). IIASA Interim Report. IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria: IR-11-004

Lesiv M, Bun A, Hamal K, & Jonas M (2011). Preparatory Signal Detection for the EU-27 Member States Under EU Burden Sharing - Advanced Monitoring Including Uncertainty (1990-2007). IIASA Interim Report. IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria: IR-11-005

Bun A, Hamal K, Jonas M , & Lesiv M (2010). Verification of compliance with GHG emission targets: Annex B countries. Climatic Change 103 (1): 215-225. DOI:10.1007/s10584-010-9906-6.

Ermolieva T, Ermoliev Y, Fischer G, Jonas M , Makowski M , & Wagner F (2010). Carbon emission trading and carbon taxes under uncertainties. Climatic Change 103 (1): 277-289. DOI:10.1007/s10584-010-9910-x.

Gusti M & Jonas M (2010). Terrestrial full carbon account for Russia: Revised uncertainty estimates and their role in a bottom-up/top-down accounting exercise. Climatic Change 103 (1): 159-174. DOI:10.1007/s10584-010-9911-9.

Jonas M , Gusti M, Jeda W, Nahorski Z, & Nilsson S (2010). Comparison of preparatory signal analysis techniques for consideration in the (post-)Kyoto policy process. Climatic Change 103 (1): 175-213. DOI:10.1007/s10584-010-9914-6.

Jonas M , Marland G, Winiwarter W , White T, Nahorski Z, Bun R, & Nilsson S (2010). Benefits of dealing with uncertainty in greenhouse gas inventories: Introduction. Climatic Change 103 (1): 3-18. DOI:10.1007/s10584-010-9922-6.

Ciais P, Canadell JG, Luyssaert S, Chevallier F, Shvidenko A, Poussi Z, Jonas M , Peylin P, et al. (2010). Can we reconcile atmospheric estimates of the Northern terrestrial carbon sink with land-based accounting? Current Opinion in Environmental Sustainability 2 (4): 225-230. DOI:10.1016/j.cosust.2010.06.008.

Ermolieva T, Ermoliev Y, Jonas M , Fischer G, & Makowski M (2010). A model for robust emission trading under uncertainties. In: Proceedings of the 3rd International Workshop on Uncertainty in Greenhouse Gas Inventories, 22-24 September 2010.

Hryniewicz O, Nahorski Z, Horabik J, & Jonas M (2010). Compliance for uncertain inventories: Yet another look? In: Proceedings of the 3rd International Workshop on Uncertainty in Greenhouse Gas Inventories, 22-24 September 2010.

Jonas M , Krey V , Wagner F , Marland G, & Nahorski Z (2010). Dealing with uncertainty in greenhouse gas inventories in an emissions constrained world. In: Proceedings of the 3rd International Workshop on Uncertainty in Greenhouse Gas Inventories.

Jonas M , White T, Marland G, Lieberman D, Nahorski Z, & Nilsson S (2010). Dealing with uncertainty in GHG inventories: How to go about it? In: Coping with Uncertainty: Robust Solutions. Eds. Marti, K., Ermoliev, Y. & Makowski, M. , Heidelberg: Springer-Verlag. ISBN 978-3-642-03734-410.1007/978-3-642-03735-1_11.

Gavrilova O, Jonas M , Erb K, & Haberl H (2010). International trade and Austria's livestock system: Direct and hidden carbon emission flows associated with production and consumption of products. Ecological Economics 69 (4): 920-929. DOI:10.1016/j.ecolecon.2009.11.015.

Ermolieva T, Ermoliev Y, Fischer G, Jonas M , & Makowski M (2010). Cost effective and environmentally safe emission trading under uncertainty. In: Coping with Uncertainty: Robust Solutions. Eds. Marti, K., Ermoliev, Y. & Makowski, M. , Heidelberg: Springer-Verlag. ISBN 978-3-642-03734-410.1007/978-3-642-03735-1_5.

Ermolieva T, Ermoliev Y, Fischer G, Jonas M , Makowski M , & Wagner F (2009). Carbon emissions trading and carbon taxes under uncertainties (Abstract). In:CwU'2009: IIASA/GAMM Workshop on Coping with Uncertainty: Managing Safety of Heterogeneous Systems - Abstracts, 14-16 December 2009, IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria, p. 9

Hamal K, Jonas M , & Marland G (2009). The uncertainty in global and national estimates of CO2 emissions from fossil-fuel combustion (Abstract). In: 8th International Carbon Dioxide Conference, 13-19 September 2009, Jena, Germany.

Marland G, Hamal K, & Jonas M (2009). How uncertain are estimates of CO2 emissions? Journal of Industrial Ecology 13 (1): 4-7. DOI:10.1111/j.1530-9290.2009.00108.x.

Hamal K & Jonas M (2008). Preparatory Signal Detection for the EU-25 Member States under EU Burden Sharing/Advanced Monitoring Including Uncertainty (1990-2004). IIASA Interim Report. IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria: IR-08-036

Hamal K & Jonas M (2008). Preparatory Signal Detection for the EU-27 Member States under EU Burden Sharing - Advanced Monitoring Including Uncertainty (1990-2005). IIASA Interim Report. IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria: IR-08-037

Ermoliev Y, Ermolieva T, Jonas M , Makowski M , & Fischer G (2008). Robust emission trading schemes under uncertainties. In: Proceedings of International Workshop: Problems of Decision Making Under Uncertainties, 22-27 September 2008.

Gusti M & Jonas M (2008). How well do we know Russia's carbon budget for 1988-92? Critical look from uncertainty study of IIASA's full carbon account? [[Geophysical Research Abstracts]], 10:EGU2008-A-09464

Bun A & Jonas M (2008). Information system for verification of compliance with greenhouse gas emission commitments: Ukraine and the European Union member states. Visnik of the Volodymyr Dahl East Ukrainian National University 119 (1): 25-31.

Ermoliev Y, Ermolieva T, Jonas M , Makowski M , & Fischer G (2008). Emission trading under uncertainties. In: Statistics in Ukraine: Current Situation, Problems and Trends. Kiev pp.9-15: State Statistics Committee of Ukraine. ISBN 978-966-2142-50-1

Gusti M & Jonas M (2008). How well do we know Russia's carbon budget for 1988-1992? Critical look from uncertainty study of IIASA's full carbon account. In: EGU General Assembly 2008, 13–18 April 2008, Vienna, Austria.

Gusti M, Jonas M , Shvidenko A, & McCallum I (2008). How well do we know Russia's carbon budget for 1988-1992? Critical look from uncertainty study of IIASA's full carbon account. In: Program and Abstract Book.

Jonas M , Gusti M, & Nilsson S (2008). Assessing Uncertainty in Bottom-up Full Carbon Accounting for Russia. Brief project report. IIASA

Bun A, Hamal K, & Jonas M (2007). Verification of compliance with GHG emission targets: Annex I countries. In: Proceedings: 2nd International Workshop on Uncertainty in Gas Inventories, 27-28 September.

Bun A & Jonas M (2007). Information technology for verification of GHG emissions' compliance with commitments: Comparison of Poland and Ukraine. In: Proceedings. International Scientific Conference on Internet in the Information Society, 28-29 June.

Bun A & Jonas M (2007). Russia and Ukraine as potential participants in greenhouse gas market: Tendencies and prognosis. In: International Conference and Young Scientists School on Computational Information Technologies for Environmental Sciences, 20-25 July.

Erb K-H, Kastner T, Zandl S, Weisz H, Haberl H, & Jonas M (2007). Carbon Cycle - Feasibility Study "Nutzen der MFA fuer das Treibhausgas-Monitoring im Rahmen eines Full Carbon Accounting- -Ansatzes: Feasibilitystudie". Final Report; submitted to Alpen-Adria University, Austria [2007]

Ermolieva T, Jonas M , Ermoliev Y, & Makowski M (2007). The difference between deterministic and probabilistic detection of emission changes: Toward the use of the probabilistic verification time concept. In: Proceedings: 2nd International Workshop on Uncertainty in Greenhouse Gas Inventories, 27-28 September.

Gusti M & Jonas M (2007). IIASA's terrestrial full carbon account for Russia: Revised uncertainty estimates and its role in a bottom-up/top-down exercise. In: Proceedings: 2nd International Workshop on Uncertainty in Greenhouse Gas Inventories, 27-28 September.

Jonas M (2007). Full Carbon Accounting. Final Report; submitted to the Austrian Science Fund [2007]

Jonas M (2007). The ongoing debate: How to go about uncertainty under the Kyoto Protocol - Key Uncertainties in Perspective. Invited lecture, IPIECA/API Workshop "Greenhouse Gas Emissions Estimation and Inventories: Addressing Uncertainty and Accuracy," 16 January 2007, Brussels, Belgium

Jonas M , Gusti M, Jeda W, Nahorski Z, & Nilsson S (2007). Comparison of preparatory signal detection techniques for consideration in the (post-) Kyoto policy process. In: Proceedings: 2nd International Workshop on Uncertainty in Greenhouse Gas Inventories, 27-28 September.

Jonas M & Nilsson S (2007). Prior to economic treatment of emissions and their uncertainties under the Kyoto Protocol: Scientific Uncertainties That Must Be Kept in Mind. In: Accounting for Climate Change. pp. 75-91 Dordrecht, The Netherlands: Springer. ISBN 978-1-4020-5930-810.1007/978-1-4020-5930-8_7.

Jonas M & Nilsson S (2007). Prior to economic treatment of emissions and their uncertainties under the Kyoto Protocol: Scientific uncertainties that must be kept in mind. Water, Air, & Soil Pollution: Focus DOI:10.1007/s11267-006-9113-7.

Jonas M , White T, Nahorski Z, & Nilsson S (2007). Stochastic techniques for the design of robust and efficient emission trading mechanisms. In: IFIP/IIASA/GAMM Workshop on Coping with Uncertainty: Robust Decisions, 10-12 December 2007, Laxenburg, Austria.

Jonas M , White T, Nahorski Z, & Nilsson S (2007). Uncertainty in greenhouse gas inventories: How to go about it? In: Abstracts: IFIP/IIASA/GAMM Workshop on Coping with Uncertainty: Robust Decisions, 10-12 December 2007.

Lieberman D, Jonas M , Nahorski Z, & Nilsson S (2007). Accounting for Climate Change. Uncertainties in Greenhouse Gas Inventories - Verification, Compliance, and Trading. Dordrecht: Springer-Verlag. ISBN 978-1-4020-5929-2

Lieberman D, Jonas M , Winiwarter W , Nahorski Z, & Nilsson S (2007). Accounting for Climate Change: Introduction. In: Accounting for Climate Change. Uncertainty in Greenhouse Gas Inventories — Verification, Compliance, and Trading. pp. 1-4 Dordrecht, The Netherlands: Springer. ISBN 978-1-4020-5930-810.1007/978-1-4020-5930-8_1.

Lieberman D, Jonas M , Winiwarter W , Nahorski Z, & Nilsson S (2007). Accounting for climate change: Introduction. Water, Air, & Soil Pollution: Focus DOI:10.1007/s11267-006-9120-8.

Makowski M , Ermolieva T, Jonas M , Ermoliev Y, & Fischer G (2007). Stochastic techniques for the design of robust and efficient emission trading mechanisms. In: IFIP/IIASA/GAMM Workshop on Coping with Uncertainty: Robust Decisions, 10-12 December 2007, Laxenburg, Austria.

Nahorski Z, Horabik J, & Jonas M (2007). Compliance and emissions trading under the Kyoto Protocol: Rules for uncertain inventories. Water, Air, & Soil Pollution: Focus DOI:10.1007/s11267-006-9112-8.

Nahorski Z, Horabik J, & Jonas M (2007). Compliance and emissions trading under the Kyoto Protocol: rules for uncertain inventories. In: Accounting for Climate Change. pp. 119-138 Dordrecht, The Netherlands: Springer. ISBN 978-1-4020-5930-810.1007/978-1-4020-5930-8_10.

Nilsson S, Shvidenko A, Jonas M , McCallum I, Thomson A, & Balzter H (2007). Uncertainties of a regional terrestrial biota full carbon account: A systems analysis. Water, Air, & Soil Pollution: Focus DOI:10.1007/s11267-006-9119-1.

Nilsson S, Shvidenko A, Jonas M , McCallum I, Thomson A, & Balzter H (2007). Uncertainties of a regional terrestrial biota full carbon account: a systems analysis. In: Accounting for Climate Change. pp. 5-21 Dordrecht, The Netherlands: Springer. ISBN 978-1-4020-5929-210.1007/978-1-4020-5930-8_2.

Bun A & Jonas M (2006). Preparatory Signal Detection for the EU-15 Member States Under EU Burden Sharing- Advanced Monitoring Including Uncertainty (1990-2003). IIASA Interim Report. IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria: IR-06-053

Bun A & Jonas M (2006). Preparatory Signal Detection for the EU-25 Member States Under EU Burden Sharing - Advanced Monitoring Including Uncertainty (1990-2003). IIASA Interim Report. IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria: IR-06-054

Wagner W, Jonas M , & Hoffmann C (2005). The role of earth observation in the good practice guidance for reporting land use, land-use change and forestry activities as specified by the Kyoto Protocol. In: Proceedings of the 2004 Envisat & ERS Symposium (ESA SP-572), 6-10 September 2004, Salzburg, Austria.

König M, Schentz H, Schleidt K, Jonas M , & Ermolieva T (2005). StartClim2004F: Continuation and further development of the MEDEA event data base (Heat and Drought and their Impacts in Austria). Final Report - StartClim2004, p.24-27. University of Natural Resources and Applied Life Sciences, Vienna, Austria

König M, Schentz H, Schleidt K, Ermolieva TY, & Jonas M (2005). Weiterführung und Ausbau von MEDEA and MEDEA V1.1 Handbuch (Continuation and Further Development of the MEDEA Event Data Base). Report: StartClim2004.F; University of Natural Resources and Applied Life Sciences, Vienna, Austria

Erb K-H, Haberl H, & Jonas M (2005). Integrated Economic-Ecological Carbon Accounting. Conference presentation, Environmental Accounting - Sustainable Development Indicators (EA-SDI 2005), Charles University Environment Center, 26-27 September 2005, Prague, Czech Republic

Nahorski Z, Horabik J, Jeda W, & Jonas M (2005). Modeling, compliance, and permit trading under big uncertainties in reporting: Greenhouse gases case. In: Informatics for Environmental Protection: Networking Environmental Information (Part 2).

Nahorski Z, Jeda W, Horabik J, & Jonas M (2005). Proposal for Managing Uncertainty in Balancing Greenhouse Gas Emissions under the Kyoto Protocol Framework. In: Kacprzyk, J., Z. Nahorski, D. Wagner (eds.); Application of Systems Analysis in Science, Technology and Economics; EXIT, Warsaw, Poland, pp. 357-372 [2005]

Nahorski Z, Jeda W, & Jonas M (2005). Estimation of Greenhouse Gas Emission Accounting Uncertainty via Signal Analysis Methods. In: A. Gnauck (ed.); Modellierung und Simulation von Oekosystemen: Workshop Koelpinsee 2003; Berichte aus der Umweltinformatik, ASIM-Mitteilung AMB 87, Shaker Verlag, Aachen, Germany pp. 247-268 [2005]

Jonas M , Nilsson S, Bun R, Dachuk V, Gusti M, Horabik J, Jeda W, & Nahorski Z (2004). Preparatory Signal Detection for the EU Member States under EU Burden Sharing - Advanced Monitoring Including Uncertainty (1990-2002). IIASA Interim Report. IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria: IR-04-046

Jonas M , Nilsson S, Bun R, Dachuk V, Gusti M, Horabik J, Jeda W, & Nahorski Z (2004). Preparatory Signal Detection for Annex I Countries under the Kyoto Protocol - A Lesson for the Post-Kyoto Policy Process. IIASA Interim Report. IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria: IR-04-024

Jonas M , Nilsson S, Bun R, Dachuk V, Gusti M, Horabik J, Jeda W, & Nahorski Z (2004). Preparatory Signal Detection for the EU Member States under EU Burden Sharing - Advanced Monitoring Including Uncertainty. IIASA Interim Report. IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria: IR-04-029

Jonas M & Nilsson S (2004). Prior to an economic treatment of emissions and their uncertainties under the Kyoto Protocol: Scientific uncertainties that must be kept in mind. In: International Workshop on Uncertainty in Greenhouse Gas Inventories: Verification, Compliance & Trading. Workshop Proceedings.

Lieberman D, Jonas M , Nilsson S, Winiwarter W , & Nahorski Z (2004). Workshop Summary. International Workshop on Uncertainty in Greenhouse Gas Inventories: Verification, Compliance, and Trading, 24-25 September, Warsaw, Poland [2004]

Nahorski Z, Horabik J, & Jonas M (2004). Greenhouse gas emission uncertainty in compliance proving and emission trading. In: International Workshop on Uncertainty in Greenhouse Gas Inventories: Verification, Compliance & Trading. Workshop Proceedings.

Nilsson S, Shvidenko A, & Jonas M (2004). Uncertainties of the regional terrestrial biota full carbon account: A systems analysis. Plenary talk. In: International Workshop on Uncertainty in Greenhouse Gas Inventories: Verification, Compliance & Trading. Workshop Proceedings.

König M, Schentz H, Weigl J, Ermolieva T, & Jonas M (2003). Ereignis-Datenbank für meteorologische Extremereignisse – MEDEA (Event Database for Meteorological Extreme Events – MEDEA). Report StartClim.3c, pp. 36. University of Natural Resources and Applied Life Sciences, Vienna, Austria

König M, Schentz H, Weigl J, Jonas M , & Ermolieva T (2003). Meteorological extreme event data information system for Austria: MEDEA (Meteorologicalextreme Event Data information system for the Eastern Alpine region). In: StartClim. Start Project Climate Protection: First Analyses of Extreme Weather Events and their Impacts in Austria. Eds. Kromp-Kolb, H. & Schwarzl, I., pp. 45-46 University of Natural Resources and Applied Life Sciences, Vienna, Austria.

Nilsson S, Jonas M , Stolbovoi V, Shvidenko A, Obersteiner M , & McCallum I (2003). The missing "missing sink". The Forestry Chronicle 79 (6): 1071-1074.

Nilsson S, Vaganov EA, Shvidenko A, Stolbovoi V, Rozhkov VA, McCallum I, & Jonas M (2003). Carbon budget of vegetation ecosystems of Russia. Doklady Earth Sciences: 1281-1283.

Nilsson S, Jonas M , & Obersteiner M (2002). COP 6: A healing shock? An editorial essay. Climatic Change 52 (1): 25-28. DOI:10.1023/A:1017408911805.

Wagner W, Kidd R, Nilsson S, Jonas M , & Hoffmann C (2002). Verification of land-use, land-use change and forestry activities as specified by the Kyoto-Protocol: The role of remote sensing and GIS within a scientific verification concept. In: Proceedings of the 16th International Symposium Environmental Informatics, 25-27 September 2002.

Jonas M & Nilsson S (2001). The Austrian Carbon Database (ACDb) Study - Overview [Revised 28 October 2003]. IIASA Interim Report. IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria: IR-01-064

Nilsson S, Bull GQ, Jonas M , Obersteiner M , & Shvidenko A (2001). Muddy Greenhouse Gas Accounting Requires Independent Third Party Certification. IIASA Interim Report. IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria: IR-01-055

Geisler A & Jonas M (2001). Contribution to a Carbon Consistent Database for Austria. IIASA Interim Report. IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria: IR-01-029

Gebetsroither E, Strebl F, Schwaiger H, Jaekel U, Jungmeier G, Canella L, Spitzer J, Hintermeier G, et al. (2001). The Austrian Carbon Balance Model (ACBM): Final Project Report Annex. Research Report OEFZS-S-0112, Austrian Research Centers, Seibersdorf, Austria [2001]

Nilsson S, Jonas M , Obersteiner M , & Victor DG (2001). Verification: The gorilla in the struggle to slow global warming. The Forestry Chronicle 77 (3): 475-478.

Jonas M , Obersteiner M , & Nilsson S (2000). How to Go From Today's Kyoto Protocol to a Post-Kyoto Future that Adheres to the Principles of Full Carbon Accounting and Global-scale Verification? A Discussion Based on Greenhouse Gas Accounting, Uncertainty and Verification. IIASA Interim Report. IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria: IR-00-061

Obersteiner M , Jonas M , & Nilsson S (2000). The Political and Economic Costs of a Fully Verifiable Kyoto Protocol. IIASA Interim Report. IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria: IR-00-062

Obersteiner M , Jonas M , Nilsson S, Shvidenko A, & Gluck M (2000). If You Act Locally and Compute Globally What Is the Optimal Comprehensiveness of the Reference Carbon System? A Note on Decision Making under Changing Properties of Total System Errors of Full Carbon Accounting (FCA) and Partial Carbon Accounting (PCA). IIASA Interim Report. IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria: IR-00-065

Obersteiner M , Jonas M , Nilsson S, Shvidenko A, & Gluck M (2000). Trading Flexibility for Predictability - Differential Emission Dynamics and the Formation of Common Carbon Markets. IIASA Interim Report. IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria: IR-00-063

Jonas M , Schopper JR, & Schoen JH (2000). Mathematical-Physical reappraisal of Archie's first equation on the basis of a statistical network model. Transport in Porous Media 40 (3): 243-280. DOI:10.1023/A:1006628431683.

Nilsson S, Shvidenko A, Stolbovoi V, Gluck M, Jonas M , & Obersteiner M (2000). Full Carbon Account for Russia [Revised 18 December 2000]. IIASA Interim Report. IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria: IR-00-021

Obersteiner M , Ermoliev YM, Gluck M, Jonas M , Nilsson S, & Shvidenko A (2000). Avoiding a Lemons Market by Including Uncertainty in the Kyoto Protocol: Same Mechanism - Improved Rules. IIASA Interim Report. IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria: IR-00-043

Nilsson S, Jonas M , & Obersteiner M (2000). The Forgotten Obligations in the Kyoto Negotiations. Short paper prepared for and presented at COP6 Meeting, The Hague, Netherlands, November [2000]

Jonas M , Nilsson S, Obersteiner M , Gluck M, & Ermoliev YM (1999). Verification Times Underlying the Kyoto Protocol: Global Benchmark Calculations [Revised February 2000]. IIASA Interim Report. IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria: IR-99-062

Jonas M , Nilsson S, Shvidenko A, Stolbovoi V, Gluck M, Obersteiner M , & Oeskog A (1999). Full Carbon Accounting and the Kyoto Protocol: A Systems- Analytical View. IIASA Interim Report. IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria: IR-99-025

Jonas M , Mayr B, Schidler S, Sotoudeh M, & Knoflacher HM (1998). Land-use Change and Forestry in Austria: A Scientific Assessment of Austria's Carbon Balance in Light of Article 3 of the Kyoto Protocol. IIASA Interim Report. IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria: IR-98-028

Sotoudeh M, Jonas M , Mayr B, Schidler S, & Windsperger A (1998). Modeling of carbon flows in Austria using the object-oriented simulation tool ASPECT. In: Networked Structures in Information Technology, the Environment and Business: Proc. 12th International Symposium, Gesellschaft fuer Informatik (GI).

Sotoudeh M, Mayr B, Windsperger A, Jonas M , & Schidler S (1998). Interdisciplinary team work for modeling of carbon flows in Austria using the object-oriented simulation tool ASPECT. In: Environmental Engineering: International Perspectives, Vol. 15. Eds. Filho, W.L., Europaeischer Verlag der Wissenschaften: P. Lang GmbH.

Jonas M , Fleischmann K, Ganopolski AV, Krabec J, Nitschke U, Olendrzynski K, Petoukhov VK, & Shaw RW (1996). Grid point surface air temperature calculations with a fast turnaround: Combining the results of IMAGE and a GCM. Climatic Change 34 (3): 479-512. DOI:10.1007/BF00139303.

Jonas M & Schopper JR (1994). The radii inversion problem associated with the Hg capillary pressure experiment. Transport in Porous Media 14 (1): 33-72. DOI:10.1007/BF00617027.

Ganopolski AV, Jonas M , Krabec J, Olendrzynski K, Petoukhov VK, & Venevsky SV (1994). IIASA's climate-vegetation-biogeochemical cycle module as a part of an integrated model for climate change. In: Global Climate Change: Science, Policy, and Mitigation Strategies.

Haan BJ de, Jonas M , Klepper O, Krabec J, Krol MS, & Olendrzynski K (1994). An atmosphere-ocean model for integrated assessment of global change. Water, Air, & Soil Pollution DOI:10.1007/BF00478343.

Jonas M , Doeoes BR, Olendrzynski K, & Hojesky H (1994). National Climate Report of the Austrian Federal Government in Compliance with the Obligations under Art.4.2 and Art.12 of the Framework Convention on Climate Change. XQ-94-833

Jonas M , Fleischmann K, Ganopolski AV, Krabec J, Nitschke U, Olendrzynski K, Petoukhov VK, & Shaw RW (1994). Applying Regional and Global GCM Surface Air Temperature Changes in an Integrated Model of Climate Change. XQ-94-811

Jonas M , Ganopolski AV, Krabec J, Olendrzynski K, & Petoukhov VK (1994). A relationship between regional and global GCM surface air temperature changes and its application to an integrated model of climate change. In: Global Climate Change: Science, Policy, and Mitigation Strategies.

de Haan B J, Jonas M , Klepper O, Krabec J, Krol M S, & Olendrzyński K (1994). An atmosphere-ocean model for Integrated Assessment of Global Change. In: Image 2.0 (Integrated Modeling of Global Climate Change). pp. 283-318 Dordrecht, The Netherlands: Springer. ISBN 978-94-011-1200-010.1007/978-94-011-1200-0_9.

Jonas M , Ganopolski AV, Krabec J, Olendrzynski K, & Petoukhov VK (1993). A Set of Climate Models for Integrated Modelling of Climate Change Impacts. Part I: Introduction and Overview - A 2-Dimensional Zonal Climate Model. A Projected Application to European Forests. IIASA Working Paper. IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria: WP-93-058

Jonas M , Olendrzynski K, Krabec J, & Shaw RW (1992). IIASA's Work on Climate Change: Assessing Environmental Impacts. IIASA Status Report. IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria: SR-92-009

Fleischmann K, Nitschke U, Jonas M , Olendrzynski K, & Shaw RW (1992). Estimation of GCM Temperature Trends for Different Emission Scenarios with the help of the Integrated Model to Assess the Greenhouse Effect (IMAGE). IIASA Working Paper. IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria: WP-92-011

Jonas M , Elzen MGJ den, & Olendrzynski K (1991). A Time Dependent Zonally Averaged Energy Balance Model to be Incorporated into IMAGE (Integrated Model to Assess the Greenhouse Effect). IIASA Collaborative Paper. IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria: CP-91-016