11 March 2019 - 13 March 2019
Denver, Colorado, USA
The goal of the Scenarios Forum is to bring together a diverse set of communities who are using or developing scenarios for use in climate change and sustainability analysis to exchange experiences, ideas, and lessons learned; to identify opportunities for synergies and collaboration; and to identify knowledge gaps for future research.
By taking stock of progress and facilitating further scenario-related research, this meeting will inform the use of scenarios in the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). It will also help ensure a research base sufficient to inform future national and international assessments as well as policy initiatives, including the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs).
IIASA has a longstanding history in developing and using scenarios for climate change and sustainability. The institute played a central role in the development of the Scenarios Framework and co-coordinated the quantification of the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs). IIASA hosts the community databases for the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs) and Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs) in collaboration with the Integrated Assessment Modelling Consortium.
About 20 IIASA researchers, 16 IIASA alumni (including 11 participants of the Young Scientists Summer Program), and IIASA National Member Organization Secretary for Germany, Hermann Lotze-Campen will contribute to the forum by organizing sessions and presenting recent studies.
Sunday 10 March 2019:
14:30 - 16:00 Pre-conference tutorial on the scenario framework:
Using the SSPs for research, assessment, and decision-making
Monday 11 March 2019
Parallel Sessions 1:
Improving the SSPs to assess the Sustainable Development Goals - Part 1
Co-organized by Keywan Riahi, ENE
Deconstructing demographic futures: population dynamics in the Shared-Socioeconomic Pathways
New nitrogen scenarios using the SSPs
Co-organized by Wilfried Winiwarter, IIASA Air Quality and Greenhouse Gases Program (AIR)
Scientific assessment of scenario-based research
Parallel Sessions 2:
Improving the SSPs to assess the Sustainable Development Goals - Part 2
Co-organized by Keywan Riahi,
Overshoot scenarios for Paris Agreement temperature targets: an interdisciplinary perspective
Co-organized by and Michael Obersteiner, ESM and Johannes Bednar, ESM
Use of scenarios for assessing climate-related financial risk and opportunity
Tuesday 12 March 2019
Parallel Sessions 3:
Extending the SSPs across space and time: Multi-scale scenario development practices
Scenarios for climate extremes and their socio-economic impact
Co-organized by Reinhard Mechler, IIASA Risk and Resilience Program (RISK)
Urban futures under the new scenario framework
Parallel Sessions 4:
Cost of climate change impact and the use of scenarios
Use of scenarios in IPCC’s 6th assessment cycle (AR6)
Inequality and poverty, projections and distributional consequences for climate
Parallel Sessions 5:
Use of the SSP-RCP scenario framework in climate impact analysis, including avoided impacts
Sub-national scenarios for integrated modeling and analyses
Scenarios for tracking progress in international climate policy
Organized by Joeri Rogelj
Parallel Sessions 6:
Wednesday 13 March 2019.
The role of short-lived climate forcers in future scenarios
Extending the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways for Impacts, Adaptation, and Vulnerability research
Forum on Scenarios for Climate and Societal Futures
The Forum on Scenarios for Climate and Societal Futures fills the critical need for researchers from various communities to come together to share their experiences, progress, and plans. The Forum provides a key means of promoting integration across the climate modeling, integrated assessment, and impacts, adaptation, and vulnerability communities, as well as with additional research communities in the social, natural, and sustainability sciences. The Forum also aims to improve linkages among the research, assessment, and policy communities.
CONTACT DETAILS
Research Group Leader and Principal Research Scholar Sustainable Service Systems Research Group - Energy, Climate, and Environment Program
Principal Research Scholar Integrated Assessment and Climate Change Research Group - Energy, Climate, and Environment Program
Principal Research Scholar Transformative Institutional and Social Solutions Research Group - Energy, Climate, and Environment Program
International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA)
Schlossplatz 1, A-2361 Laxenburg, Austria
Phone: (+43 2236) 807 0 Fax:(+43 2236) 71 313