Integrated Biosphere Futures (IBF)

The research focus of IBF is the integrated modeling of natural resources and ecosystems management using IIASA models such as the Global Biosphere Management Model (GLOBIOM) for the development of transformations in food and bio-based sectors that enable satisfying human needs while ensuring the sustainable use of terrestrial and marine environments.

© Romolo Tavani | Dreamstime

© Romolo Tavani | Dreamstime

The IBF Group strives to bring about transformations in the use and management of terrestrial, fresh water, and marine ecosystems for “happy people on a healthy planet” by informing national and international policies, and by engaging with businesses and civil society. For this, the group relies on a suite of well-established models, including the Global Biosphere Management Model (GLOBIOM) and the Global Forest Model (G4M), as well as its reputation as a credible partner in concrete policy/regulatory processes. The group’s key research areas include:

  • Land, water, and oceans management focusing on primary producers in agriculture, forestry, and fisheries and their impact on the environment, including land based climate change mitigation.
  • Bio-based sectors integrating consumers and producers across food, fibre, and fuel supply chains.
  • Shocks, adaptation, and resilience within bio-based sectors including weather extremes.
  • Food, nutrition, and poverty, as the main social outcomes of land, water, and oceans use.
  • Integrated biosphere foresight and solutions developing forward-looking scenarios for the assessment of potential synergies and trade-offs between relevant Sustainable Development Goals at regional and global scales, and exploring national and international options for their achievement to inform policymaking.

Latest news:

22 July 2021
Informing policy for long-term global food security

More than 820 million people in the world don’t have enough to eat, while climate change and increasing competition for land and water are further raising concerns about the future balance between food demand and supply. The results of a new IIASA-led study can be used to benchmark global food security projections and inform policy analysis and public debate on the future of food.  More

13 July 2021
Closing knowledge gaps for sustainable agriculture

IIASA is part of a project funded under the Belmont Forum’s joint Collaborative Research Action on Pathways to Sustainability to develop and apply an indicator system for measuring sustainability in the agricultural sector that will close existing knowledge gaps and facilitate decision making for more sustainable agricultural production.  More


Latest event:

08 Feb 2021
IIASA discusses resilient food systems post COVID at the AAAS Annual Meeting

IIASA is organizing a panel discussion at the 2021 virtual American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS) me... More


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Last edited: 11 May 2021

CONTACT DETAILS

Petr Havlik

Research Group Leader and Principal Research Scholar

Integrated Biosphere Futures Research Group

Biodiversity and Natural Resources Program

T +43(0) 2236 807 511

PUBLICATIONS

Kuramochi, T., Nascimento, L., Moisio, M., den Elzen, M., Forsell, N., van Soest, H., Tanguy, P., Gonzales, S., et al. (2021). Greenhouse gas emission scenarios in nine key non-G20 countries: An assessment of progress toward 2030 climate targets. Environmental Science & Policy 123, 67-81. 10.1016/j.envsci.2021.04.015.

Zhang, X., Zou, T., Lassaletta, L., Mueller, N.D., Tubiello, F.N., Lisk, M.D., Lu, C., Conant, R.T., et al. (2021). Quantification of global and national nitrogen budgets for crop production. Nature Food 10.1038/s43016-021-00318-5.

Liu, S., Ermolieva, T., Cao, G.-Y., Chen, G., & Zheng, X. (2021). Analyzing the Effectiveness of COVID-19 Lockdown Policies Using the Time-Dependent Reproduction Number and the Regression Discontinuity Framework: Comparison between Countries. Engineering Proceedings 5 (1), e8. 10.3390/engproc2021005008.

International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA)
Schlossplatz 1, A-2361 Laxenburg, Austria
Phone: (+43 2236) 807 0 Fax:(+43 2236) 71 313