19 August 2021
Virtual

Third workshop of the Foresight Exercise “Emerging Trade Routes between Europe and Asia”

The third workshop of the Foresight Exercise is organized in the framework of the “Emerging trade routes between Europe and Asia” scenario building project. 

© Yevgeniy Plotnikov | Dreamstime.com

© Yevgeniy Plotnikov | Dreamstime.com

In March-May 2021, IIASA researchers conducted a survey on the plausible futures of shipping in the Arctic. It allowed ranking the most important factors and wildcards for the navigation over the Northern Sea Route in the next 30 years. Based on the analysis of the survey results, literature review, and previous workshops, draft skeletons of several plausible scenarios were constructed. The aim of the third workshop is to discuss these draft skeletons with experts with the goal to enrich and detail the scenario narratives. Workshop participants evaluate the plausibility of each of the scenario skeletons and to discuss factors, which can play an important role in each particular skeleton.


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Last edited: 19 August 2021

CONTACT DETAILS

Elena Rovenskaya

Program Director and Principal Research Scholar Advancing Systems Analysis Program

T +43(0) 2236 807 608

CONTACT DETAILS

Dmitry Erokhin

Research Assistant Cooperation and Transformative Governance Research Group - Advancing Systems Analysis Program

CONTACT DETAILS

Nikita Strelkovskii

Research Scholar Exploratory Modeling of Human-natural Systems Research Group - Advancing Systems Analysis Program

Research Scholar Cooperation and Transformative Governance Research Group - Advancing Systems Analysis Program

T +43(0) 2236 807 653

Workshop inforamtion

Research project

PUBLICATIONS

Erokhin, D. & Rovenskaya, E. (2020). Regional scenarios of the Arctic futures: A review. IIASA Working Paper. Laxenburg, Austria: WP-20-013

International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA)
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