Guillaume Marois

Guillaume Marois is an associate professor at the Asian Demographic Research Institute of the Shanghai University. He completed his PhD in demography at the National Institute for Scientific Research (Montreal) in 2014, and his master's degree in demography at the University of Montreal. He joined the IIASA World Population (POP) program at IIASA in 2016, to develop microsimulation models that allow for the projection of population under several socioeconomic dimensions. His main research interests include demographic projections, microsimulation, human capital, labor force participation, immigration and internal mobility.

Before joining IIASA, Dr. Marois was a postdoctoral researcher at the Institute of urbanism of the University of Montreal. From 2008 to 2012, he also worked as a research officer at the Quebec Statistical Institute.



Last update: 05 MAY 2020

Marois, G. , Gietel-Basten, S., & Lutz, W. (2021). China's low fertility may not hinder future prosperity. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 118 (40), e2108900118. 10.1073/pnas.2108900118.

Dimitrova, A.K., Marois, G. , Kiesewetter, G. , K.C., S., Rafaj, P. , & Tonne, C. (2021). Health impacts of fine particles under climate change mitigation, air quality control, and demographic change in India. Environmental Research Letters 10.1088/1748-9326/abe5d5. (In Press)

Marois, G. & Aktas, A. (2021). Projecting health-ageing trajectories in Europe using a dynamic microsimulation model. Scientific Reports 11 (1), e1785. 10.1038/s41598-021-81092-z.

Marois, G. , Muttarak, R. , & Scherbov, S. (2020). Assessing the potential impact of COVID-19 on life expectancy. IIASA Working Paper. Laxenburg, Austria: WP-20-005

Marois, G. & Potančoková, M. (2020). Scenarios of labour force participation and employment integration of immigrants in the EU: demographic perspective. Publications Office of the European Union

Goujon, A. , Marois, G. , & Sabourin, P. (2020). Deriving Niger’s Demographic and Education Future to 2062 with Stakeholders: Which Results? Population Research and Policy Review 10.1007/s11113-020-09582-y.

Marois, G. , Sabourin, P., & Bélanger, A. (2020). Implementing Dynamics of Immigration Integration in Labor Force Participation Projection in EU28. Population Research and Policy Review 39, 339-363. 10.1007/s11113-019-09537-y.

Marois, G. & Aktas, A. (2020). Projecting health trajectories in Europe using microsimulation. IIASA Working Paper. Laxenburg, Austria: WP-20-004

Marois, G. , Bélanger, A., & Lutz, W. (2020). Population aging, migration, and productivity in Europe. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, e201918988. 10.1073/pnas.1918988117.

Marois, G. , Muttarak, R. , & Scherbov, S. (2020). Assessing the potential impact of COVID-19 on life expectancy. PLOS ONE 15 (9), e0238678. 10.1371/journal.pone.0238678.

Potančoková, M. & Marois, G. (2020). Projecting future births with fertility differentials reflecting women's educational and migrant characteristics. In: Vienna Yearbook of Population Research. Vienna, Austria: Vienna Institute of Demongraphy. 10.1553/populationyearbook2020.res02.

Marois, G. , Sabourin, P., & Belanger, A. (2019). Forecasting human capital of EU member countries accounting for sociocultural determinants. Journal of Demographic Economics 85 (3), 231-269. 10.1017/dem.2019.4.

Belanger, A., Sabourin, P., Marois, G. , Van Hook, J., & Vézina, S. (2019). A framework for the prospective analysis of ethno-cultural super-diversity. Demographic Research 41, 293-330. 10.4054/DemRes.2019.41.11.

Marois, G. , Sabourin, P., & Bélanger, A. (2019). How reducing differentials in education and labor force participation could lessen workforce decline in the EU-28. Demographic Research 41, 125-160. 10.4054/DemRes.2019.41.6.

Lutz, W., Amran, G., Belanger, A., Conte, A., Gailey, N., Ghio, D., Grapsa, E., Jensen, K., et al. (2019). Demographic Scenarios for the EU: Migration, population and education. Publications Office of the European Union

Vézina, S., Belanger, A., Sabourin, P., & Marois, G. (2019). Literacy Skills of the Future Canadian Working-Age Population: Assessing the Skill Gap Between the Foreign- and Canadian-Born. Canadian Studies in Population 46 (1), 5-25. 10.1007/s42650-019-00002-x.

Belanger, A., Sabourin, P., Marois, G. , Van Hook, J., & Vezina, S. (2018). A framework for the prospective analysis of super-diversity coming from high levels of immigration. IIASA Working Paper. Laxenburg, Austria: WP-18-008

Marois, G. , Sabourin, P., & Belanger, A. (2018). Implementing dynamics of immigration integration in labor force participation projection in EU28. IIASA Working Paper. IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria: WP-18-004

Marois, G. (2018). Does size really matter? Canadian Studies in Population 45 (1-2), 79-83. 10.25336/csp29387.

Marois, G. , Sabourin, P., & Belanger, A. (2017). A Microsimulation Approach for Modelling the Future Human Capital of EU28 Member Countries. IIASA Working Paper. IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria: WP-17-017

Lutz, W., Belanger, A., Loichinger, E., Marois, G. , Sabourin, P., & Sakdapolrak, P. (2017). EC-JRC/IIASA Centre of Expertise on Population and Migration. In: IIASA Institutional Evaluation 2017, 27 February-1 March 2017, IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria.

Marois, G. (2017). A statistical approach for analyzing residential isolation and its determinants for immigrant communities: an application to the Montreal metropolitan region. Applied Spatial Analysis and Policy, 1-29. 10.1007/s12061-017-9223-9.