Guy Abel

Guy Abel joined the IIASA World Population (POP) Program as a Research Scholar in November 2011. His research focuses on techniques for estimating migration patterns and applying statistical methods to better forecast components of population change. He is also the leader of the International Migration research group at the Asian Demographic Research Institute and Professor in the School of Sociology and Political Sciences at Shanghai University. He received China's National 1000 Expert Award for Young Professionals in 2017 and Shanghai's 1000 Foreign Expert Award in 2015.

Previously he worked at the Vienna Institute of Demography, the ESRC Centre for Population Change and S3RI at the University of Southampton.

Personal site.


Last update: 13-MAY-2020

Fiorio, L., Zagheni, E., Abel, G. , Hill, J., Pestre, G., Letouzé, E., & Cai, J. (2021). Analyzing the Effect of Time in Migration Measurement Using Georeferenced Digital Trace Data. Demography (891763) 10.1215/00703370-8917630.

Abel, G. & Gietel-Basten, S. (2020). International remittance flows and the economic and social consequences of COVID-19. Environment and Planning A: Economy and Space, e0308518X2093111. 10.1177/0308518X20931111. (In Press)

Gendronneau, C., Wiśniowski, A., Yildiz, D. , Zagheni, E., Fiorio, L., Hsiao, Y., Stepanek, M., Weber, I., et al. (2019). Measuring Labour Mobility and Migration Using Big Data:. European Commission

Abel, G. , Raymer, J., & Guan, Q. (2019). Driving factors of Asian international migration flows. Asian Population Studies 15 (3), 243-265. 10.1080/17441730.2019.1664526.

Abel, G. & Cohen, J. (2019). Bilateral international migration flow estimates for 200 countries. Scientific Data 6 (1) 10.1038/s41597-019-0089-3.

Abel, G. , Brottrager, M., Crespo Cuaresma, J., & Muttarak, R. (2019). Climate, conflict and forced migration. Global Environmental Change 54, 239-249. 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2018.12.003.

Bhabha, J. & Abel, G. (2019). Migration and Migrants: Regional Dimensions and Developments. In: World Migration Report 2020. pp. 231-252 Geneva, Switzerland: International Organization for Migration (IOM). ISBN 978-92-9068-789-4

McCauliffe, M., Kitimbo, A., Abel, G. , Sawyer, A., & Klatt, J. (2019). Migration and Migrants: Regional Dimensions and Developments. In: World Migration Report 2020. pp. 53-124 Geneva, Switzerland: International Organization for Migration (IOM). ISBN 978-92-9068-789-4

Baptista, E.A., Abel, G. , & Campos, J. (2018). Internal migration in Brazil using circular visualization. Regional Studies, Regional Science 5 (1), 361-364. 10.1080/21681376.2018.1526649.

Abel, G. , Brottrager, M., Crespo Cuaresma, J., & Muttarak, R. (2018). Climate, Conflict and Forced Migration. WU Vienna University of Economics and Business, Vienna

Abel, G. , Muttarak, R. , Bordone, V., & Zagheni, E. (2018). Bowling Together: Scientific Collaboration Networks of Demographers at European Population Conferences. European Journal of Population 35 (3), 543-562. 10.1007/s10680-018-9493-1.

Abel, G. & Heo, N. (2018). Changing internal migration flows patterns in South Korea. Regional Studies, Regional Science 5 (1), 78-80. 10.1080/21681376.2018.1431149.

Abel, G. & Heo, N. (2018). Subnational gender balances in South Korea. Environment and Planning A: Economy and Space 10.1177/0308518X18756640.

Abel, G. , Bordone, V., Muttarak, R. , & Zagheni, E. (2018). Bowling Together: Scientific Collaboration Network of Demographers at European Population Conferences. Vienna Institute of Demography, Austrian Academy of Sciences VID Working Paper 01/2018

Abel, G. (2018). Non-zero trajectories for long-run net migration assumptions in global population projection models. Demographic Research 38, 1635-1662. 10.4054/DemRes.2018.38.54.

Abel, G. (2017). Estimates of Global Bilateral Migration Flows by Gender between 1960 and 2015. International Migration Review, 1-44. 10.1111/imre.12327.

Qi, W., Abel, G. , Muttarak, R. , & Liu, S. (2017). Circular visualization of China’s internal migration flows 2010–2015. Environment and Planning A 49 (11), 2432-2436. 10.1177/0308518X17718375.

Qi, W., Muttarak, R. , & Abel, G. (2017). Bilateral Migration Measures. IIASA Working Paper. IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria: WP-17-014

Grecequet, M., DeWaard, J., Hellmann, J.J., & Abel, G. (2017). Climate Vulnerability and Human Migration in Global Perspective. Sustainability 9 (5), p. 720. 10.3390/su9050720.

Abel, G. , Barakat, B., KC, S., & Lutz, W. (2016). Meeting the Sustainable Development Goals leads to lower world population growth. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 113 (50), 14294-14299. 10.1073/pnas.1611386113.

Abel, G. , Barakat, B., KC, S., & Lutz, W. (2016). Meeting the Sustainable Development Goals leads to lower world population growth. IIASA Working Paper. IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria: WP-16-007

Abel, G. & Muttarak, R. (2015). When the Well Runs Dry, Where Do We Go Now? Exploring Internal Migration due to Climate Stress in Asia and Central and South America. In: Systems Analysis 2015 - A Conference in Celebration of Howard Raiffa, 11 -13 November, 2015, Laxenburg, Austria.

Abel, G.J. , Bauer, R., Berghammer, C., Cantele, M., Fliegenschnee, K., Gisser, R., Janisch, L., Krivanek, D., et al. (2015). Religions in Vienna in the Past, Present and Future - Key Findings from the WIREL Project. WIREL Project, Vienna Institute of Demography