Research Project
Unanticipated migration inflows can have positive and negative economic and social consequences depending on policies implemented by the recipient country to cope with the manifold challenges. Model-based scientific assessments of in-migration on a country's national economy are hence needed, as is meaningful stakeholder deliberation of alternative policies to support the integration of refugees in ways that contribute to resilient and sustainable societies.
Research Project
The project “Emerging trade routes between Europe and Asia” is conducted at IIASA in 2020-2021 as part of and supported by the Northern Dimension Institute (NDI) Think Tank Action. It engages experts across disciplines and borders into a foresight study to delineate scenarios of plausible alternative futures of shipping in the Arctic as an alternative Europe-Asia transportation option and to facilitate a better understanding by all relevant stakeholders, including decision-makers and the general public, of key uncertainties that are likely to affect the development of the Arctic region, notably, around shipping.
Research Project
The Systemic Risk and Network Dynamics project will examine how different types of systems, ranging from financial to ecological and beyond, are at risk of cascades of failures. As well as assessing this risk, this cross-cutting project will develop tools to help prevent such events.
Research Project
The Platform Value Now project funded by Finland’s Strategic Research Council focuses on understanding the fast emerging platform economic ecosystems, their value creation dynamics and requirements of the supportive institutional environment. It analyzes economic ecosystems with systems tools and develop new methods for platform-centric economic ecosystems management.
Article: Other
10 August 2021
Options Magazine, Summer 2021: At a crucial moment for beleaguered nature, IIASA research is showing that we can reverse biodiversity loss. It will need an effort that is grand in scale and focused where rewards are greatest.
Advancing Systems Analysis (ASA)
Cooperation and Transformative Governance (CAT)
Systemic Risk and Resilience (SYRR)
Exploratory Modeling of Human-natural Systems (EM)
Novel Data Ecosystems for Sustainability (NODES)
Biodiversity and Natural Resources (BNR)
Integrated Biosphere Futures (IBF)
Biodiversity, Ecology, and Conservation (BEC)
Event
Finland / Virtual
Leena Ilmola-Sheppard from Cooperation and Transformative Governance (CAT) group is moderating and co-organizing an interactive webinar on how to build resilience into platform businesses.
The event targets several policy makers, among them Pekka Lindros, Director at the Ministry of Economic Affairs and Employment of Finland will be present.
Event
Virtual event at the World Meteorological Organization
Cooperation and Transformative Governance group at the Diversity Global Atmosphere Watch Panel Discussion
Nadejda Komendantova from Cooperation and Transformative Governance (CAT) group was invited by the Environmental Pollution and Atmospheric Chemistry (EPAC) committee of the Global Atmosphere Watch (GAW) to participate in the Diversity Global Atmosphere Watch Panel Discussion.
This panel will discuss how an appreciation of diversity can be encouraged and which actions are needed to increase diversity in technical programmes like GAW.
Event
IIASA at the International Conference “Risk Management in the Energy Sector 2021"
IIASA Deputy Director General for Science Leena Srivastava and IIASA Cooperation and Transformative Governance Research Group Leader Nadejda Komendantova will speak at the 4th International Conference “Risk Management in Energy-2021” focusing on the risks and opportunities in the global energy sector as a driver of the economy post COVID-19.
Article: News
03 May 2021
The terms “co-creation” and “co-production”, which denote the possibility for laypeople to participate in decision-making processes that affect their lives, have been gaining popularity. A new IIASA-led study explored options for empowering citizens as a driver for moving from awareness about the need to transform energy systems to action and participation.
Tool
The current state of the world affairs calls for a revival of systems thinking to improve decision-making. Recognizing that the tightening of socio-economic links heightens the need for holistic responses, that disciplinary and sectorial solutions are of limited effectiveness and efficiency, and that big data is not generating integrative perspectives by itself, highlights the need for policymakers to become thoroughly familiar with the promises and pitfalls of systems analysis. Challenges are systemic, dynamic, and interconnected, and systems analysis, coupled with an improved anticipation, provides a coherent methodology and necessary tools to develop new approaches so urgently required for more coherent and effective policy planning.
Tool
We are developing and applying a range of methods for integrated multi-attribute evaluation under risk, subject to incomplete or imperfect information, and evaluations of decision situations using imprecise utilities, probabilities, and weights, as well as qualitative estimates between these components derived from sets of weight, utility and probability measures. To avoid some mathematical aggregation problems when handling set membership functions and similar, we use higher-order distributions for better discrimination between the possible outcomes.
Model
The linkage algorithms solve the problem of linking models, e.g. sectorial and/or regional, into an inter-sectorial inter-regional integrated model. Linkage enables to avoid “hard linking” of models in a single code, which saves the programming time and enables parallel distributed computations of individual models instead of a large scale integrated model. Models linkage preserves the structure of the original models taking into account critically important details, which are usually missing in aggregate models.
Dataset
Stochastic Quasi-Gradient (SQG) methods have been developed for solving general optimization problems without exact calculation of objective function and constraints (let alone of their derivatives). SQG methods enable a sequential revision of approximate solutions towards the optimal using newly acquired information on the system, obtained via either direct on-line observations or(and) simulations.
Event
Irkutsk, Russia / Virtual
Nadejda Komendantova from the Cooperation and Transformative Governance group is invited to provide an opening keynote presentation at the VIII International Workshop on Critical Infrastructures in the Digital World. The aim of the workshop is to discuss theoretical and methodological issues of development and integration of intelligent, agent-based and cloud computing for contingency management in critical infrastructures as well as to talk about Situational Awareness, Semiotics, Visual Analytics, Semantic Modeling and Cognitive Graphics and their applications in critical infrastructures.