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Through its research, the MDM Group aims to advance demographic modeling methods to assess and forecast population dynamics with a focus on demographic and spatial heterogeneity under different socioeconomic scenarios at the global, national, and sub-national level.
The MDM Group’s research focus is at the core of the IIASA strategic plan in rigorously incorporating the human-centered system model into systems analysis by considering the feedback mechanisms between human and other social, economic, and natural systems. The group has a strong focus on population forecasting using a scenario-based approach allowing for aligning future demographic components with socioeconomic scenarios such as the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs) originally developed for the climate change research community. Apart from updating global projections of population, human capital, and other relevant dimensions using scenarios, the group also carries out innovative, policy-relevant research at the local and regional level, for instance, assessing social vulnerability to COVID-19 at a small spatial scale.
Models, tools, datasets
POPULATION AND HUMAN CAPITAL PROJECTIONS (SSP 2023)
Wittgenstein Centre Human Capital Data & Graphic Explorer Version 3.0 (WCDE)
Projects
Future Migration Scenarios for Europe (FUME)
Quantifying Migration Scenarios for Better Policy (QuantMig)
Policy REcommendations to Maximise the beneficial Impact of Unexplored Mobilities in and beyond the European Union (PREMIUM_EU)
Link4Skills (Link4Skills)
Staff
Guillaume Marois
Research Scholar (MDM)
Samir K.C.
Senior Research Scholar (MDM, MIG)
Claudia Reiter
Research Scholar (MDM); Guest Research Scholar (EF)
Bernhard Rengs
Guest Research Scholar (MDM)
News
07 March 2024
Populations of the future: updated tool helps to visualize projections
New projections of population and human capital provide insights into what our future could look like all the way until the year 2100 under different developmental scenarios. The findings are presented in datasets compiled by IIASA scientists in partnership with the Wittgenstein Centre for Demography and Global Human Capital.
27 February 2024
Slovak delegation from the Institute of Economic Research visits IIASA
The International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA) hosted a delegation from the Institute of Economic Research of the Slovak Academy of Sciences (SAS). The visit aimed at fostering collaboration and in-depth discussions on key economic models and research areas.
22 February 2024
Master's Programme "Global Demography"
The Wittgenstein Centre for Demography and Global Human Capital (IIASA, OeAW, University of Vienna) will start Master's Programme "Global Demography" at the University of Vienna with its fourth cohort of students in October 2024.
Events
Columbus, Ohio
IIASA at the PAA Annual Meeting 2024
Vienna, Austria and online
IIASA at EGU 2024
Focus
09 November 2023
Consistent vs. increasing levels of population decline in Spanish municipalities
Options Magazine, Winter 2023: Population decline is a key demographic challenge facing modern society. While previous studies have examined population decline, less is known about the different contemporary trajectories of depopulation in small areas and their demographic and contextual factors.
28 November 2022
Standardizing migration data in Europe
Options Magazine, Winter 2022: Researchers illustrated the discrepancies in migration flow statistics across Europe to help standardize data and better understand migration patterns.
Publications
Marois, G. , Gietel-Basten, S., Crespo Cuaresma, J., Zellmann, J.G., Reiter, C. , & Lutz, W. (2024). Measuring Human Capital with Productivity-Weighted Labor Force: Methodology and Projections for China, India, the United States, and the European Union. IIASA Working Paper. Laxenburg, Austria: WP-24-005 Bijak, J., Czaika, M., Potančoková, M. , & de Vilhena, D.V. (2024). New perspectives for migration foresight and preparedness: Insights from the QuantMig Project. Migration Policy Practice XIII (1) 34-40. K.C., S., Dhakad, M., Potančoková, M. , Adhikari, S., Yildiz, D. , Mamolo, M., Sobotka, T., Zeman, K., Abel, G. , Lutz, W. , & Goujon, A. (2024). Updating the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs) Global Population and Human Capital Projections. IIASA Working Paper. Laxenburg, Austria: WP-24-003 Yildiz, D. & Abel, G. (2024). Migration flows by age, sex and educational attainment. IIASA Working Paper. Laxenburg, Austria: WP-24-001 Dhakad, M. (2024). Diabetes and Hypertension Among Indian Women. In: Atlas of Gender and Health Inequalities in India. Eds. Guilmoto, C.Z., pp. 41-51 Cham, Switzerland: Springer. ISBN 978-3-031-47847-5 10.1007/978-3-031-47847-5_4.